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PostNL N.V (0P47) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of PostNL N.V €1.51, price €0.83, upside +82.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GB · ISIN NL0009739416

PN Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PostNL N.V

0P47 · LSE

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value €1.51 · Strongly undervalued (+82.9%)
!Quality 57/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +6.1 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2020 6.5%
!High debt
·1.6% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€3.34 €0.8178 Fair Value €1.51 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.8178 – €3.34 · fair‑value band €0.9600 – €2.22 · the €0.8255 price screens below the €1.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PostNL N.V. provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company in two segments, Parcels and Mail in the Netherlands, and PostNL Other.

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PostNL N.V. provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company in two segments, Parcels and Mail in the Netherlands, and PostNL Other. It collects, sorts, transports, and delivers letters and parcels; and offers data management, direct marketing, and fulfillment services, as well as cross-border mail and parcels solutions. The company was formerly known as TNT N.V. and changed its name to PostNL N.V. in May 2011. The company is based in The Hague, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

PostNL N.V (0P47) currently trades at €0.8255, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.51, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €1.59 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the €0.8255 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €0.3400, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.9600 (bear) to €2.22 (bull), the price of €0.8255 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

PostNL N.V reported revenue of €3.3B in FY2020 versus €3.4B in FY2016, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was €213M in FY2020, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €1.9B · P/S ratio 0.57 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity −9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.7% · Operating margin 8.1% · Revenue (TTM) €3.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 83%, 0P47 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.9600 Fair Value €1.51 Bull €2.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €0.8900 €1.33 €1.94 76
Growth DCF €0.9200 €1.32 €1.86 75
EPV €0.8800 €1.04 €1.19 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.8900 €1.33 €1.94 76
5Y Revenue Exit €0.9100 €1.48 €2.17 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.18 €1.95 €2.82 71
5Y P/E Exit €1.03 €1.69 €2.34 67
10Y Revenue Exit €0.8600 €1.36 €1.97 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.06 €1.67 €2.43 65
10Y P/E Exit €0.9700 €1.50 €2.09 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.6300 €1.49 €1.92 63
PEG = 1.0 €0.2600 €0.3700 €0.4800 55
EPV €0.8800 €1.04 €1.19 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.6300 €1.06 €1.56 64
DDM Multi-Stage €0.6300 €0.9200 €1.23 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.47 €1.95 €2.44 63
P/S Multiple €1.19 €1.58 €1.98 58
P/B Multiple €0.3200 €0.4300 €0.5400 55
EV/EBIT €1.46 €2.01 €2.55 66
EV/EBITDA €1.57 €2.15 €2.73 67
EV/Revenue €1.00 €1.49 €1.99 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0500 €0.0600 €0.1000 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.9200 €1.32 €1.86 75
Rev-Margin DCF €0.9100 €1.49 €2.10 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €0.2800 €0.3400 €0.5700 71
ROIC Compounder €0.9100 €1.12 €1.33 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.11 €1.59 €2.06 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 80
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.5% (2016) → 9.0% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Compare PostNL N.V with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 202 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +68.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.16× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 9.98× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 27.2× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $93.44 $107.34 +15%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.74 €137.08 +146%
FedEx Corporation FDX $289.65 $349.54 +21%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,199 kr 711.95 −41%
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €24.49 €14.24 −42%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 224.50 CHF 147.92 −34%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $188.58 $116.66 −38%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.54 ¥109.70 +259%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $226.07 $133.80 −41%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $148.24 $87.31 −41%

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PostNL N.V · Fair Value
€1.51 +45%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PostNL N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0P47

Frequently asked questions

Is PostNL N.V (0P47) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.51 versus a price of €0.8255, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0P47?
Our model-based fair value for PostNL N.V is €1.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.8255.
What is the quality score of 0P47?
PostNL N.V has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PostNL N.V (0P47)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.51 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.9600, optimistic scenario €2.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PostNL N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.51, about +83% upside versus a price of €0.8255 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.9600, optimistic scenario €2.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
PostNL N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PostNL N.V pay a dividend?
PostNL N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PostNL N.V it is €1.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €0.8255. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PostNL N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0P47 trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.8255, fair value €1.51, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0P47?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.8255); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.51). For PostNL N.V the two are €0.6845 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PostNL N.V worth?
The market values PostNL N.V at about €1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €0.8255; our models calculate a fair value of €1.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0P47?
Our models span a range for PostNL N.V: cautious scenario €0.9600, base €1.51, optimistic €2.22 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €0.8255). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
Balance-sheet figures for PostNL N.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −9.4%, debt of 3.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0P47 from its 52-week high?
PostNL N.V trades at €0.8255, about 32% below its 52-week high of €1.22 and 1% above the low of €0.8178 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PostNL N.V?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PostNL N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €0.8255, calculated fair value €1.51 (+83%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0P47 calculated?
We run PostNL N.V through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. PostNL N.V currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €0.8255. Our model-based fair value is €1.51, about +83% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PostNL N.V right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.9600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€0.9600 to €2.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of PostNL N.V

How large is the market capitalisation of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The market capitalisation of PostNL N.V is €1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PostNL N.V is 0.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The dividend yield of PostNL N.V is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The net margin of PostNL N.V is 6.5% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PostNL N.V is −9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PostNL N.V is 11.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PostNL N.V (0P47)?
The operating margin of PostNL N.V is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PostNL N.V (0P47)?
Revenue at PostNL N.V is growing +2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PostNL N.V (0P47)?
Earnings per share at PostNL N.V are growing −7.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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