AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of AMAG Austria Metall AG €11.01, price €27.30, upside -59.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €20.25 – €38.84 · fair‑value band €9.92 – €11.01 · the €27.30 price screens above the €11.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
AMAG Austria Metall AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, processing, and sale of aluminum, aluminum semi-finished, and cast products in Austria, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Metal, Casting, Rolling, and Service.
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AMAG Austria Metall AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, processing, and sale of aluminum, aluminum semi-finished, and cast products in Austria, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Metal, Casting, Rolling, and Service. The Metal segment produces primary aluminium; and manages metal production streams. The Casting segment produces recycled casting alloys from aluminium scrap. This segment's product portfolio includes customer-specific aluminium materials in the form of ingots, sows, and liquid metals. The Rolling segment produces and sells rolled products comprising sheets, coils, and plates, as well as precision cast plates and precision rolled plates. The Service segment offers facility management services, including building and space management; energy supply; waste disposal; and purchasing and materials management services. The company serves aerospace, automotive, mechanical engineering, packaging, electrical, sports, and consumer goods industries, as well as the architecture sector. AMAG Austria Metall AG was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Ranshofen, Austria.
Stock analysis
AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L) currently trades at €27.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.01, 59.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of €12.56 per share, and 0 of the 21 models we run sit above the €27.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €2.60, and 21 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €9.92 (bear) to €11.01 (bull), the price of €27.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
AMAG Austria Metall AG reported revenue of €904M in FY2020 versus €906M in FY2016, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was €11.0M in FY2020, compounding −30.1%/yr from FY2016.
Key figures
Market cap €887M · P/E ratio 0.1 · EPS (TTM) €2.57 · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin 8.8% · Revenue (TTM) €1.5B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −60%, 0Q7L screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €9.92Fair Value €11.01Bull €11.01
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.1% (2016) → 2.7% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 78 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−77.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.9% · Below median
Return on assets2.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AMAG Austria Metall AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0Q7L
Frequently asked questions
Is AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €11.01 versus a price of €27.30, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0Q7L?
Our model-based fair value for AMAG Austria Metall AG is €11.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €27.30.
What is the quality score of 0Q7L?
AMAG Austria Metall AG has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €11.01 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.92, optimistic scenario €11.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AMAG Austria Metall AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €11.01, about −60% upside versus a price of €27.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €9.92, optimistic scenario €11.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
AMAG Austria Metall AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AMAG Austria Metall AG it is €11.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €27.30. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AMAG Austria Metall AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0Q7L trades above its calculated fair value: price €27.30, fair value €11.01, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0Q7L?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€27.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€11.01). For AMAG Austria Metall AG the two are €16.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AMAG Austria Metall AG worth?
The market values AMAG Austria Metall AG at about €887M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €27.30; our models calculate a fair value of €11.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0Q7L?
Our models span a range for AMAG Austria Metall AG: cautious scenario €9.92, base €11.01, optimistic €11.01 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €27.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0Q7L?
AMAG Austria Metall AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €11.01 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
Balance-sheet figures for AMAG Austria Metall AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0Q7L from its 52-week high?
AMAG Austria Metall AG trades at €27.30, about 9% below its 52-week high of €30.00 and 17% above the low of €23.37 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €11.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AMAG Austria Metall AG?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Aluminum Corporation, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AMAG Austria Metall AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €27.30, calculated fair value €11.01 (−60%), Quality Score 49/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0Q7L calculated?
We run AMAG Austria Metall AG through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €11.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. AMAG Austria Metall AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was €27.30. Our model-based fair value is €11.01, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AMAG Austria Metall AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€11.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (€9.92 to €11.01), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of AMAG Austria Metall AG
How large is the market capitalisation of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
The market capitalisation of AMAG Austria Metall AG is €887M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
Earnings per share at AMAG Austria Metall AG are €2.57 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
The net margin of AMAG Austria Metall AG is 1.2% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AMAG Austria Metall AG is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AMAG Austria Metall AG is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
The operating margin of AMAG Austria Metall AG is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
Revenue at AMAG Austria Metall AG is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AMAG Austria Metall AG (0Q7L)?
Earnings per share at AMAG Austria Metall AG are growing +63.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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