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Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ypsomed Holding £159, price £360, upside -55.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Ypsomed Holding
0QLQ · LSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value £159.49 · Strongly overvalued (−55.7%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 30.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!1.2% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
✓Wide moat 85/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £123.98 – £437.46 · fair‑value band £113.05 – £271.64 · the £359.60 price screens above the £159.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Ypsomed Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells injection and infusion systems for safe and simple self-medication in Switzerland, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers various injection systems, such as pen injectors, auto-injectors, and wearable injectors, as well as other related services.
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Ypsomed Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells injection and infusion systems for safe and simple self-medication in Switzerland, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company offers various injection systems, such as pen injectors, auto-injectors, and wearable injectors, as well as other related services. It offers contract manufacturing of infusion sets and reservoirs. The company markets its products to hospitals, doctors, pharmacies and patients via subsidiaries and distributors. Ypsomed Holding AG was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Burgdorf, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) currently trades at £359.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £159.49, 55.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of £335.73 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the £359.60 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at £18.45, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £113.05 (bear) to £271.64 (bull), the price of £359.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Ypsomed Holding reported revenue of £731M in FY2026 versus £465M in FY2022, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was £222M in FY2026, compounding +76.0%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap £4.9B · P/E ratio 2.1 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) £1.83 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 30.4% · Return on equity 31.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −56%, 0QLQ screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £113.05
Fair Value £159.49
Bull £271.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
£12.25
£19.25
£29.70
79
Growth DCF
£12.38
£18.45
£26.93
78
Owner Earnings
£9.96
£15.69
£24.24
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
£12.25
£19.25
£29.70
79
Owner Earnings
£9.96
£15.69
£24.24
75
5Y Revenue Exit
£49.09
£89.98
£143.80
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
£122.61
£229.49
£357.59
73
5Y P/E Exit
£163.26
£306.63
£461.01
69
10Y Revenue Exit
£33.05
£66.63
£114.42
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
£81.30
£162.05
£276.07
66
10Y P/E Exit
£106.79
£214.81
£354.27
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
£119.74
£399.45
£534.80
64
Lynch FV
£90.60
£129.43
£168.25
61
PEG = 1.0
£90.60
£129.43
£168.25
57
EPV
£119.16
£138.03
£154.30
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
£277.34
£369.79
£462.24
63
P/S Multiple
£87.00
£116.00
£145.00
58
P/B Multiple
£200.35
£267.13
£333.91
55
EV/EBIT
£186.52
£248.79
£311.07
66
EV/EBITDA
£206.16
£274.98
£343.80
67
EV/Revenue
£72.77
£104.09
£135.41
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
£29.68
£39.77
£59.36
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
£12.38
£18.45
£26.93
78
Rev-Margin DCF
£49.09
£88.74
£134.73
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
£98.31
£125.92
£215.85
73
ROIC Compounder
£128.20
£161.19
£199.19
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
£235.01
£335.73
£436.45
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Profitability
74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+78.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+77.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.77.4% vs 19.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 25%
2026 sits 184% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+74.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +70.4% a year for the price and +5.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)−4.0%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+13.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+11.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+10.4%
Projected 2031 (sales)+9.0%
0QLQ screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with General Electric Company →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Weapons
Defense
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| Airbus SE AIR | €185.60 | €112.14 | −40% |
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| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $504.61 | $382.98 | −24% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,116 | $1,228 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £159.49 versus a price of £359.60, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QLQ?
Our model-based fair value for Ypsomed Holding is £159.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £359.60.
What is the quality score of 0QLQ?
Ypsomed Holding has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £159.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £113.05, optimistic scenario £271.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ypsomed Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £159.49, about −56% upside versus a price of £359.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £113.05, optimistic scenario £271.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Ypsomed Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £731M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ypsomed Holding pay a dividend?
Ypsomed Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ypsomed Holding would have to grow free cash flow by +74.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QLQ use?
Our models discount Ypsomed Holding at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.77, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ypsomed Holding that is +74.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ypsomed Holding grew +12.6 % a year. The price currently implies +74.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ypsomed Holding (+74.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.23 %: that much free cash flow Ypsomed Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ypsomed Holding it is £159.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £359.60. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ypsomed Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QLQ trades above its calculated fair value: price £359.60, fair value £159.49, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QLQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£359.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£159.49). For Ypsomed Holding the two are £200.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ypsomed Holding worth?
The market values Ypsomed Holding at about £4.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £359.60; our models calculate a fair value of £159.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QLQ?
Our models span a range for Ypsomed Holding: cautious scenario £113.05, base £159.49, optimistic £271.64 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £359.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0QLQ?
Ypsomed Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 2.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £159.49 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ypsomed Holding (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 31.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QLQ from its 52-week high?
Ypsomed Holding trades at £359.60, about 13% below its 52-week high of £414.73 and 34% above the low of £268.89 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £159.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ypsomed Holding?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ypsomed Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £359.60, calculated fair value £159.49 (−56%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QLQ calculated?
We run Ypsomed Holding through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £159.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ypsomed Holding itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £359.60. Our model-based fair value is £159.49, about −56% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ypsomed Holding right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£271.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (£113.05 to £271.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) come from?
Earnings per share at Ypsomed Holding grew +15.1 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.9 %, EBIT margin +5.0 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ypsomed Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The market capitalisation of Ypsomed Holding is £4.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ypsomed Holding is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Earnings per share at Ypsomed Holding are £1.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The dividend yield of Ypsomed Holding is 1.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The net margin of Ypsomed Holding is 30.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ypsomed Holding is 31.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ypsomed Holding is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
The operating margin of Ypsomed Holding is 26.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Revenue at Ypsomed Holding is growing −13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ)?
Earnings per share at Ypsomed Holding are growing +51.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ypsomed Holding (0QLQ) carry?
The net debt of Ypsomed Holding is £232M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 20.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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