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HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of HMS Networks AB SEK 531, price SEK 560, upside -5.1%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 2, 2026
HMS Networks AB
0RPZ · LSENeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value kr 531.04 · Fairly valued (−5.1%)
✓Quality 66/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.9% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 67/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 252.60 – kr 590.25 · fair‑value band kr 392.68 – kr 690.34 · the kr 559.50 price screens above the kr 531.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
HMS Networks AB (publ) provides industrial information and communication technology solutions worldwide.
Show more
HMS Networks AB (publ) provides industrial information and communication technology solutions worldwide. The company offers industrial data products, including HMI and panel meters, industrial controllers, network diagnostics, network security, and remote gateway products; industrial network connectivity products comprising embedded network interfaces, functional safety, gateways and protocol converters, industrial PC interfaces, industrial wireless, and switches and infrastructure products; building automation gateway products that include AC cloud control, AC, AW heat pump, and protocol converter gateways; vehicle and medical communication products, such as computing gateways, infrastructure components, and PC interfaces; and related software, tools, and accessories. Its products are used for battery energy storage, EV charging, factory to building, HVAC control, lighting control, mobile robots, PLCs, robot controllers, and smart metering applications. The company also provides building control and connectivity; CAN connectivity, access, and diagnostics; functional safety; industrial network connectivity, diagnostics, infrastructure, and security; industrial remote access; machine visualization/control; and vehicle network connectivity solutions. It sells its products under the Anybus, Ixxat, Ewon, Intesis, Red Lion, and N-Tron brands. The company serves automotive, building and factory automation, food and beverage, medical, packaging, power generation, process automation, transport and infrastructure, warehouse and distribution, and water/wastewater industries. HMS Networks AB (publ) was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Halmstad, Sweden.
Stock analysis
HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) currently trades at kr 559.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 531.04, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.4%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 410.70 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 559.50 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at kr 83.49, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 392.68 (bear) to kr 690.34 (bull), the price of kr 559.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
HMS Networks AB reported revenue of 3.6B SEK in FY2025 versus 2.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was 435M SEK in FY2025, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 28.1B SEK (≈ $2.8B) · P/E ratio 0.6 · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) kr 8.05 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 12.2% · Return on equity 15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −5%, 0RPZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 392.68
Fair Value kr 531.04
Bull kr 690.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 2.46 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
kr 269.86
kr 475.50
kr 993.34
75
Growth DCF
kr 260.70
kr 520.96
kr 923.85
75
Residual Income
kr 68.93
kr 83.49
kr 126.62
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
kr 269.86
kr 475.50
kr 993.34
75
Owner Earnings
kr 217.72
kr 443.92
kr 872.50
72
5Y Revenue Exit
kr 209.00
kr 387.23
kr 641.41
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
kr 308.42
kr 611.73
kr 1,020
72
5Y P/E Exit
kr 213.84
kr 398.15
kr 623.06
69
10Y Revenue Exit
kr 220.34
kr 402.44
kr 693.74
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
kr 293.80
kr 572.07
kr 1,050
65
10Y P/E Exit
kr 230.07
kr 410.70
kr 694.35
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
kr 63.58
kr 390.91
kr 545.47
63
Lynch FV
kr 112.11
kr 160.16
kr 208.21
61
PEG = 1.0
kr 112.11
kr 160.16
kr 208.21
57
EPV
kr 135.87
kr 157.06
kr 175.35
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
kr 0.7600
kr 1.50
kr 2.28
67
DDM Multi-Stage
kr 0.7600
kr 1.30
kr 1.59
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
kr 196.34
kr 261.79
kr 327.24
63
P/S Multiple
kr 119.21
kr 158.94
kr 198.68
58
P/B Multiple
kr 119.21
kr 158.94
kr 198.68
55
EV/EBIT
kr 350.60
kr 466.92
kr 583.24
66
EV/EBITDA
kr 341.12
kr 454.28
kr 567.45
67
EV/Revenue
kr 178.06
kr 253.66
kr 329.27
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
kr 37.36
kr 50.06
kr 74.71
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
kr 260.70
kr 520.96
kr 923.85
75
Rev-Margin DCF
kr 209.00
kr 380.35
kr 623.76
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
kr 68.93
kr 83.49
kr 126.62
75
ROIC Compounder
kr 162.48
kr 228.92
kr 320.39
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
kr 185.86
kr 265.52
kr 345.17
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
66/100
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
55
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.6%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.6% vs 20.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 25%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.6% a year for the price and +8.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.1%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: UK Stocks
- Valuation of the UK market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $445.97 | $249.04 | −44% |
| Nokia Oyj NOKIA | €9.19 | €3.15 | −66% |
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| Ubiquiti Inc UI | $609.64 | $670.60 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 531.04 versus a price of kr 559.50, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 0RPZ?
Our model-based fair value for HMS Networks AB is kr 531.04 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 559.50.
What is the quality score of 0RPZ?
HMS Networks AB has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 531.04 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 392.68, optimistic scenario kr 690.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HMS Networks AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 531.04, about −5% upside versus a price of kr 559.50 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario kr 392.68, optimistic scenario kr 690.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
HMS Networks AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does HMS Networks AB pay a dividend?
HMS Networks AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.86% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HMS Networks AB would have to grow free cash flow by +21.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.5 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0RPZ use?
Our models discount HMS Networks AB at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.09, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HMS Networks AB that is +21.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HMS Networks AB grew +19.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HMS Networks AB (+21.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.90 %: that much free cash flow HMS Networks AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HMS Networks AB it is kr 531.04 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of kr 559.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HMS Networks AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 0RPZ trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 559.50, fair value kr 531.04, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0RPZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 559.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 531.04). For HMS Networks AB the two are kr 28.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HMS Networks AB worth?
The market values HMS Networks AB at about 28.1B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is kr 559.50; our models calculate a fair value of kr 531.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0RPZ?
Our models span a range for HMS Networks AB: cautious scenario kr 392.68, base kr 531.04, optimistic kr 690.34 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price kr 559.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0RPZ from its 52-week high?
HMS Networks AB trades at kr 559.50, about 5% below its 52-week high of kr 590.25 and 47% above the low of kr 379.93 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 531.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HMS Networks AB?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HMS Networks AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price kr 559.50, calculated fair value kr 531.04 (−5%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0RPZ calculated?
We run HMS Networks AB through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 531.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HMS Networks AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 559.50. Our model-based fair value is kr 531.04, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HMS Networks AB right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) come from?
Earnings per share at HMS Networks AB grew +20.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +16.8 %, EBIT margin +4.4 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of HMS Networks AB
How large is the market capitalisation of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The market capitalisation of HMS Networks AB is 28.1B SEK (≈ $2.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of HMS Networks AB is 0.6 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HMS Networks AB is 0.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
Earnings per share at HMS Networks AB are kr 8.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The dividend yield of HMS Networks AB is 0.9% (payout 59.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The net margin of HMS Networks AB is 12.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HMS Networks AB is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HMS Networks AB is 18.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
The operating margin of HMS Networks AB is 23.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
Revenue at HMS Networks AB is growing +17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HMS Networks AB (0RPZ)?
Earnings per share at HMS Networks AB are growing +84.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does HMS Networks AB (0RPZ) carry?
The net debt of HMS Networks AB is 2.3B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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