IRC Limited (1029) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$796M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +11.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.4000 – HK$4.61 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.1100 · the HK$0.4500 price screens above the HK$0.0900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
IRC Limited (1029) currently trades at HK$0.4500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0900, implying the stock looks roughly 80.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, IRC Limited generated revenue of HK$258M at a net margin of -51.0%. Revenue grew 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -52.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0700 (bear case) to HK$0.1100 (bull case); at HK$0.4500, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -80%, 1029 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.0600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IRC Limited, an investment holding company, engages in production and development of industrial commodities products in Russia and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Mines in Production, Mines in Development, Engineering, and Other.
Full company description
IRC Limited, an investment holding company, engages in production and development of industrial commodities products in Russia and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Mines in Production, Mines in Development, Engineering, and Other. The Mines in Production segment comprises iron ore projects in production phase, which include the Kimkan and Sutara (K&S) Project located in the Obluchenskoye district of the EAO in the Russian Far East region. The Mines in Development segment consists of iron ore projects in the exploration and development phase comprising the Garinskoye project that focuses on iron ore deposits in the Amur region. The Engineering segment provides in-house engineering and scientific services. The Other segment engages in the production of vanadium pentoxides and related products, and other projects. It is also involved in the provision of exploration and mining, general trading, transportation, and engineering services. IRC Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
IRC Limited reported revenue of HK$258M in FY2025 versus HK$371M in FY2021, a compound −8.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$132M in FY2025.
1029 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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