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Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd HK$0.81, price HK$0.34, upside +138.2%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · HK · ISIN BMG650311092

NH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd

1047 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.8100 · Strongly undervalued (+138.2%)

!Quality 58/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.1 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)

!Narrow moat 20/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 7 out of 100

26 models, one by onewith weight and evidence Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 58/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2550 – HK$0.6717 · the HK$0.3400 price screens below the HK$0.8100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Ngai Hing Hong Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of plastic materials, pigments, colorants, compounded plastic resins, and engineering plastic products in Hong Kong. The company operates through Trading, Colorants, and Engineering Plastics segments. It is also involved in property holding activities, as well as manufactures and sells personal care products. Ngai Hing Hong Company Limited was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong. Ngai Hing Hong Company Limited is a subsidiary of Good Benefit Limited.

Stock analysis

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047) currently trades at HK$0.3400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.8100, implying the stock looks roughly 58.0% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$2.22 per share, and 17 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$0.3400 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.8000, and 5 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound −9.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$339K in FY2025, compounding −75.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$128M (≈ $16.3M) · P/E ratio 10.7 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 1.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin 2.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$1.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 138%, 1047 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.8100 Fair Value HK$0.8100 Bull HK$0.8100

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0400 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$2.81 HK$3.64 HK$4.94 81

Growth DCF HK$2.89 HK$3.68 HK$4.84 80

Owner Earnings HK$1.01 HK$1.20 HK$1.50 78

All 22 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$2.81 HK$3.64 HK$4.94 81

Owner Earnings HK$1.01 HK$1.20 HK$1.50 78

5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.80 HK$2.17 HK$2.65 74

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.94 HK$2.40 HK$2.96 77

5Y P/E Exit HK$1.38 HK$1.45 HK$1.52 72

10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.16 HK$2.55 HK$2.97 68

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.26 HK$2.70 HK$3.18 70

10Y P/E Exit HK$1.93 HK$2.08 HK$2.20 65

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 67

EPV HK$1.02 HK$1.11 HK$1.18 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 HK$0.0200 55

EV/EBIT HK$1.34 HK$1.62 HK$1.91 66

EV/EBITDA HK$1.53 HK$1.88 HK$2.23 67

EV/Revenue HK$1.22 HK$1.54 HK$1.86 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6700 HK$0.9000 HK$1.34 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$2.89 HK$3.68 HK$4.84 80

Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.80 HK$2.22 HK$2.71 74

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$0.8800 HK$0.8000 HK$0.7400 76

ROIC Compounder HK$1.02 HK$1.11 HK$1.18 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0100 HK$0.0100 HK$0.0200 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 36

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 53

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 61

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 51

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 50

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 48

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 38

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 68

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

+5.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−8.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−3.1%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.8% a year

Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.4%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−63.1%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−63.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−63.1% vs −31.3%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 2%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 707 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 58 · Above median

Fair Value upside +138.2% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 1.8% · Below median

Return on assets 2.4% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 0.7% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 2.6% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −2.4% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.7× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 0.26× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 1.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29

PAST (return on equity)7 · sector 23

HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN	$469.89	$441.72	−6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW	$329.10	$151.68	−54%
Ecolab Inc ECL	$279.49	$96.56	−65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD	$281.76	$121.30	−57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303	238.00 TWD	234.23 TWD	−2%
Givaudan SA GIVN	CHF 3,447	CHF 1,527	−56%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309	¥69.45	¥68.03	−2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR	CHF 92.30	CHF 29.70	−68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT	₹2,444	₹1,479	−39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG	$107.52	$76.98	−28%

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Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.8100 +58%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1047" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$0.8100</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+58%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1047

Frequently asked questions

Is Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.8100 versus a price of HK$0.3400, about +138% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1047?

Our model-based fair value for Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is HK$0.8100 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3400.

What is the quality score of 1047?

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.8100 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$0.8100, about +138% upside versus a price of HK$0.3400 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd it is HK$0.8100 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3400. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 1047 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3400, fair value HK$0.8100, a gap of about +138% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1047?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.8100). For Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd the two are HK$0.4700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd worth?

The market values Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd at about HK$128M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3400; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.8100 per share.

What is the P/E ratio of 1047?

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.8100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Balance-sheet figures for Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.8%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1047 from its 52-week high?

Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd trades at HK$0.3400, about 21% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4300 and 13% above the low of HK$0.3000 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.8100 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.3400, calculated fair value HK$0.8100 (+138%), Quality Score 58/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1047 calculated?

We run Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.8100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.3400. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.8100, about +138% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.8100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

The market capitalisation of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is HK$128M (≈ $16.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What are the earnings per share of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Earnings per share at Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd are HK$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

The net margin of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

The operating margin of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Revenue at Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is growing −2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047)?

Earnings per share at Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd are growing +18.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047) generate?

The free cash flow of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is HK$72.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd (1047) carry?

The net debt of Ngai Hing Hong Co Ltd is HK$216M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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