Guangdong Tannery Ltd (1058) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$207M (≈ $26.4M) · ISIN HK1058006367
What is Guangdong Tannery Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 168% above our fair value of HK$0.1400.
As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Guangdong Tannery Ltd is HK$0.1400 per share against a price of HK$0.3750, so the fair value sits 63% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −5.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2460 – HK$1.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.1500 · the HK$0.3750 price screens above the HK$0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Tannery Ltd (1058) currently trades at HK$0.3750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1400, implying the stock looks roughly 167.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Tannery Ltd generated revenue of HK$71.3M at a net margin of −20.0%. Revenue declined 22.0% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$9.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1300 (bear case) to HK$0.1500 (bull case); at HK$0.3750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at −63%, 1058 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$1.82) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Namyue Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the processing and sale of semi-finished and finished leather. It is also involved in the processing of cowhides; subcontracted leather processing activities; and trading leather.
Full company description
Namyue Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the processing and sale of semi-finished and finished leather. It is also involved in the processing of cowhides; subcontracted leather processing activities; and trading leather. The company was formerly known as Guangdong Tannery Limited and changed its name to Namyue Holdings Limited in July 2022. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Namyue Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Nam Yue (Group) Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Tannery Ltd reported revenue of HK$71.3M in FY2025 versus HK$196M in FY2021, a compound −22.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$14.2M in FY2025.
1058 screens 168% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $38.44 | $35.63 | −7% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $87.76 | $125.16 | +43% |
| On Holding ONON | $31.03 | $17.79 | −43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.61 | ¥13.03 | +3% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $33.95 | $44.93 | +32% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $122.23 | $203.65 | +67% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥34.24 | ¥51.36 | +50% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €25.63 | €10.57 | −59% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $47.70 | $11.69 | −75% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.65 | HK$31.67 | +132% |
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