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Coastal Greenland Limited (1124) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$51.4M

CG Coastal Greenland Limited 1124 · HK
PriceHK$0.1180
Fair ValueHK$0.1896
Upside+60.7%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1112 – HK$0.2468 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from HK$0.1889 to HK$0.1896 (+0.4%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +26.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1112 to HK$0.2468) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.7800 HK$0.0920 Fair Value HK$0.1896 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0920 – HK$0.7800 · fair‑value band HK$0.1112 – HK$0.2468 · the HK$0.1180 price screens below the HK$0.1896 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Coastal Greenland Limited (1124) currently trades at HK$0.1180, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1896, implying the stock looks roughly 60.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$149M. It earns a return on equity of -31.1%. Net debt stands at HK$222M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1112 (bear case) to HK$0.2468 (bull case); at HK$0.1180, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 61%, 1124 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$0.4700 HK$0.7900 HK$1.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4700 HK$0.7400 HK$0.8400 61
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.00 HK$1.35 HK$2.01 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.4700 HK$0.7900 HK$1.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.4700 HK$0.7400 HK$0.8400 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.00 HK$1.35 HK$2.01 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.35) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.7400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$149M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2,104%
Net margin -220%
Return on equity -31.1%
Free cash flow −HK$51.6M FY2025
Operating margin 57.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.7900
Net debt HK$222M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Coastal Greenland Limited, an investment holding company, invests, develops, and sells properties in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Project Management Services, and Project Investment Services segments.

Full company description

Coastal Greenland Limited, an investment holding company, invests, develops, and sells properties in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Project Management Services, and Project Investment Services segments. The company invests in and rents commercial and residential properties; and provides management services; e-commerce; and invests in land development projects, as well as invests in life sciences. It also provides capital management, industrial investment, and real estate development services. Coastal Greenland Limited was founded in 1990 and is based in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Coastal Greenland Limited reported revenue of HK$116M in FY2025 versus HK$130M in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$382M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$116M
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 HK$130M
FY22 HK$6.7M
FY23 HK$211M
FY24 HK$4.2M
FY25 HK$116M
Net income
FY21 −HK$281M
FY22 −HK$943M
FY23 −HK$426M
FY24 −HK$1.4B
FY25 −HK$382M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coastal Greenland Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1124

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 593 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +61% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2104% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 47
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 96 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹661.75 ₹146.13 -78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,209 ₹583.43 -52%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,488 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 73.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +15%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 610.00 IDR 1,525 IDR +150%
Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH 18,150 VND 20,338 VND +12%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,300 IDR 6,239 IDR +45%
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS 147.00 IDR 164.33 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Coastal Greenland Limited (1124) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1896 versus a price of HK$0.1180, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1124?
Our model-based fair value for Coastal Greenland Limited is HK$0.1896 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1180.
What is the quality score of 1124?
Coastal Greenland Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Coastal Greenland Limited (1124)?
Coastal Greenland Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$149M (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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