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Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited HK$0.03, price HK$0.19, upside -82.5%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · HK · ISIN BMG4804U1062

MF Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Momentum Financial Holdings Limited

1152 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0340 · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 31/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.4800 HK$0.0360 Fair Value HK$0.0340 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0360 – HK$0.4800 · fair‑value band HK$0.0255 – HK$0.0425 · the HK$0.1940 price screens above the HK$0.0340 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Momentum Financial Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the finance leasing and consultancy service business in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Provision of Finance Leasing and Consultancy Services; and Cross-Border Trading Business of Nutrition Food and Health Products segments.

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Momentum Financial Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the finance leasing and consultancy service business in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Provision of Finance Leasing and Consultancy Services; and Cross-Border Trading Business of Nutrition Food and Health Products segments. The company provides direct finance leasing, and sale and leaseback services. It also trades in metal and equipment, as well as nutrition food and health care products. The company was formerly known as Infinity Financial Group (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Momentum Financial Holdings Limited in April 2018. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Triumph Hope Limited.

Stock analysis

Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152) currently trades at HK$0.1940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0340, implying the stock looks roughly 470.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0255 (bear) to HK$0.0425 (bull), the price of HK$0.1940 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Momentum Financial Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$592M in FY2025 versus HK$651M in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$679M (≈ $86.5M) · P/S ratio 1.24 · Net margin −1.8% · Return on equity −9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin −0.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$592M · Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7%.

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 166% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at −82%, 1152 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0255 Fair Value HK$0.0340 Bull HK$0.0425
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +19.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.9% (2020) → 0.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1152 screens 470% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 82 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.53× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 42.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)73 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $78.67 $67.71 −14%
US Foods Holding USFD $94.20 $59.37 −37%
Performance Food Group PFGC $92.19 $45.15 −51%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €18.30 €21.59 +18%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.50 THB 13.33 THB −8%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $108.36 $41.89 −61%
Olam Group VC2 0.9750 SGD 2.47 SGD +153%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $45.86 $63.12 +38%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $66.94 $32.32 −52%
Metcash Limited MTS A$2.84 A$5.33 +88%

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HK$0.0340 −470%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Momentum Financial Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1152

Frequently asked questions

Is Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0340 versus a price of HK$0.1940, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1152?
Our model-based fair value for Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is HK$0.0340 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1940.
What is the quality score of 1152?
Momentum Financial Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0340 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0255, optimistic scenario HK$0.0425. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Momentum Financial Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0340, about −82% upside versus a price of HK$0.1940 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0255, optimistic scenario HK$0.0425. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
Momentum Financial Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$592M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Momentum Financial Holdings Limited it is HK$0.0340 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1940. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Momentum Financial Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 1152 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1940, fair value HK$0.0340, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1152?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1940); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0340). For Momentum Financial Holdings Limited the two are HK$0.1600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Momentum Financial Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Momentum Financial Holdings Limited at about HK$679M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1940; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0340 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1152?
Our models span a range for Momentum Financial Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$0.0255, base HK$0.0340, optimistic HK$0.0425 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price HK$0.1940). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
Balance-sheet figures for Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.2%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1152 from its 52-week high?
Momentum Financial Holdings Limited trades at HK$0.1940, about 63% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5300 and 166% above the low of HK$0.0730 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0340 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Momentum Financial Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Momentum Financial Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price HK$0.1940, calculated fair value HK$0.0340 (−82%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1152 calculated?
We run Momentum Financial Holdings Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0340, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Momentum Financial Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$0.1940. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0340, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Momentum Financial Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0425). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
The market capitalisation of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is HK$679M (≈ $86.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is 1.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
The net margin of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is −1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is −9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
The operating margin of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is −0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
Revenue at Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is growing +11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152)?
Earnings per share at Momentum Financial Holdings Limited are growing −62.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152) generate?
The free cash flow of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is −HK$25.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (1152) carry?
The net debt of Momentum Financial Holdings Limited is HK$144M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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