Z Fin Limited (1168) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$1.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +34.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$3.54 to HK$6.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.30 – HK$11.92 · fair‑value band HK$3.54 – HK$6.46 · the HK$5.50 price screens above the HK$5.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Z Fin Limited (1168) currently trades at HK$5.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.00, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$474M. Revenue grew 12.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.8%. Net debt stands at HK$368M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$3.54 (bear case) to HK$6.46 (bull case); at HK$5.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -9%, 1168 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$15.87) versus Dividend Discount (HK$2.97). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Z Fin Limited, an investment holding company, engages in financial technology investment and management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Financing Services, Property Investment, Property Management, Property Development, Others segments.
Full company description
Z Fin Limited, an investment holding company, engages in financial technology investment and management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Financing Services, Property Investment, Property Management, Property Development, Others segments. The company offers financial leasing solutions and multiple consultancy services; property management services; securities trading, investment advisory, and asset management services; and business factoring and other loan financing services. It is also involved in property leasing; property development and sale of properties; operation of hotel and primary school. The company was formerly known as Sinolink Worldwide Holdings Limited and changed its name to Z Fin Limited in August 2025. Z Fin Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Z Fin Limited reported revenue of HK$575M in FY2025 versus HK$432M in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.1B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 128.80 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 66.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +8% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,591 | ₹645.21 | -59% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,905 | ₹701.74 | -63% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 17.55 SAR | 11.60 SAR | -34% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 54.08 | kr 70.70 | +31% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.94 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,954 CLP | 2,740 CLP | -31% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥23.19 | ¥4.60 | -80% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 52.49 MXN | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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