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Kingwell Group Ltd (1195) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Kingwell Group Ltd HK$0.02, price HK$0.02, upside +6.3%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · HK · ISIN KYG5267M1015

KG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Kingwell Group Ltd

1195 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.0202 · Fairly valued (+6.3%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -7.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.0610 HK$0.0110 Fair Value HK$0.0202 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0110 – HK$0.0610 · fair‑value band HK$0.0184 – HK$0.0220 · the HK$0.0190 price screens below the HK$0.0202 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Kingwell Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property leasing, and property management services business in Mainland China.

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Kingwell Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property leasing, and property management services business in Mainland China. Kingwell Group Limited is involved in the development of villas, apartments, and commercial buildings; information technology services; transportation agency services; sale of parking lots; and provision of property management services and construction services. The company was formerly known as Sinotronics Holdings Limited and changed its name to Kingwell Group Limited in 2010. Kingwell Group Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui East, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Kingwell Group Ltd (1195) currently trades at HK$0.0190, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0202, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.9%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0184 (bear) to HK$0.0220 (bull), the price of HK$0.0190 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kingwell Group Ltd reported revenue of 70.9M CNY in FY2025 versus 34.2M CNY in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was −5.0M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$56.4M (≈ $7.2M) · P/S ratio 0.55 · Net margin −7.1% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7% · Operating margin −4.1% · Revenue (TTM) 73.2M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 6%, 1195 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0184 Fair Value HK$0.0202 Bull HK$0.0220
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.4% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.7% (2019) → −2.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 133 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)42 · sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)33 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 74
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 124.50 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 63.00 THB 71.37 THB +13%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,978 ₹405.25 −80%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,478 ₹297.85 −80%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.15 SAR 15.41 SAR −10%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.69 ¥0.7900 −71%
Allreal Holding ALLN CHF 193.00 CHF 84.23 −56%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,630 CLP 3,708 CLP +2%
The St. Joe Company JOE $66.01 $34.53 −48%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.09 SGD 3.18 SGD +3%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingwell Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1195

Frequently asked questions

Is Kingwell Group Ltd (1195) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0202 versus a price of HK$0.0190, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1195?
Our model-based fair value for Kingwell Group Ltd is HK$0.0202 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0190.
What is the quality score of 1195?
Kingwell Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0202 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0184, optimistic scenario HK$0.0220. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingwell Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0202, about +6% upside versus a price of HK$0.0190 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0184, optimistic scenario HK$0.0220. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
Kingwell Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.2M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingwell Group Ltd it is HK$0.0202 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0190. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingwell Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1195 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0190, fair value HK$0.0202, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1195?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0190); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0202). For Kingwell Group Ltd the two are HK$0.0012 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingwell Group Ltd worth?
The market values Kingwell Group Ltd at about HK$56.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0190; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0202 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1195?
Our models span a range for Kingwell Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0184, base HK$0.0202, optimistic HK$0.0220 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0190). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingwell Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1195 from its 52-week high?
Kingwell Group Ltd trades at HK$0.0190, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0300 and 73% above the low of HK$0.0110 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0202 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingwell Group Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingwell Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0190, calculated fair value HK$0.0202 (+6%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1195 calculated?
We run Kingwell Group Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0202, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingwell Group Ltd currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0190. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0202, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingwell Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Kingwell Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
The market capitalisation of Kingwell Group Ltd is HK$56.4M (≈ $7.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingwell Group Ltd is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
The net margin of Kingwell Group Ltd is −7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingwell Group Ltd is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingwell Group Ltd is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
The operating margin of Kingwell Group Ltd is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingwell Group Ltd (1195)?
Revenue at Kingwell Group Ltd is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Kingwell Group Ltd (1195) generate?
The free cash flow of Kingwell Group Ltd is −8.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kingwell Group Ltd (1195) hold?
Kingwell Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, 38.3M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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