Kanpai Co (1269) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.4B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 90.72 TWD to 82.47 TWD (−9.1%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −5.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from 61.85 TWD (bear) to 103.09 TWD (bull), base 82.47 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 52.90 TWD – 137.80 TWD · fair‑value band 61.85 TWD – 103.09 TWD · the 64.90 TWD price screens below the 82.47 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Kanpai Co (1269) currently trades at 64.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 82.47 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 27.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kanpai Co generated revenue of 4.6B TWD at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. Net debt stands at 344M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 61.85 TWD (bear case) to 103.09 TWD (bull case); at 64.90 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 27%, 1269 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (194.09 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (19.38 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kanpai Co., Ltd engages in catering related businesses in China and Taiwan. The company involved in chain restaurants, meat imports, e-commerce retail, and pet food businesses. It serves directly to consumers through street stores, department stores, and shopping malls. Kanpai Co., Ltd was founded in 1999 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kanpai Co reported revenue of 4.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was 86.2M TWD in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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