China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 31.3B TWD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 4.53 TWD to 8.42 TWD (+85.9%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −13.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.07 TWD – 15.84 TWD · fair‑value band 7.66 TWD – 9.58 TWD · the 7.68 TWD price screens below the 8.42 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) currently trades at 7.68 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.42 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 9.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Petrochemical Development Corp generated revenue of 16.8B TWD at a net margin of -17.4%. Revenue declined 37.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.5%. Net debt stands at 38.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.66 TWD (bear case) to 9.58 TWD (bull case); at 7.68 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at 10%, 1314 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (13.50 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.02 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Petrochemical Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells of petroleum, alkali-chlorine, phosphoric acid, and other petrochemical products and by-products in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
China Petrochemical Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells of petroleum, alkali-chlorine, phosphoric acid, and other petrochemical products and by-products in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It also provides caprolactam for use as a raw material for making nylon-6 fibers and resin; acrylonitrile, a raw material for acrylic fibers and ABS plastic; nylon chips, including fiber nylon and engineering plastic grade nylon chips, and film; ammonium sulfate, which is used as a ground or top fertilizer in agriculture; hydrogen cyanide, a transparent liquid for use as a raw material for manufacturing MMA; acrylonitrile; and refined sulfuric acid for various applications, as well as O-Phenylphenol, a raw material for downstream applications. In addition, it is involved in the investment and development of real estate properties; technical advisory; petrochemical supporting facility construction; engineering and construction contracting business; biotechnology and pharmaceutical research, development, and marketing business; wholesale of building materials; fertilizer storage, transport, purchase, and marketing business; trading of petrochemicals, electronic chemicals, industrial gases, and gas mixtures; and water treatment, plumbing, apparatus, and instrument installation work, refrigeration and air conditioning engineering, and tank car repair services, as well as offers mechanical engineering services. Further, it commissions to build housing and commercial buildings, as well as plant rental business; and manages land developments and playgrounds, and other investment businesses, as well as storage, transportation, procurement, and sale of items and related chemicals and chemicals materials. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Petrochemical Development Corp reported revenue of 19.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 35.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0B TWD in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 670 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $479.43 | $222.03 | -54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥75.06 | ¥68.03 | -9% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 416.10 | kr 170.02 | -59% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,756 | ₹664.51 | -76% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,730 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,702 | ₹351.84 | -79% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 2,160 IDR | 2,322 IDR | +8% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹559.80 | ₹154.46 | -72% |
| Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM | ₹4,566 | ₹836.47 | -82% |
| Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL | ₹778.15 | ₹248.63 | -68% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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