China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of China Petrochemical Development Corp TWD 2.50, price TWD 8.89, upside -71.9%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch China Petrochemical Development Corp for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.07 TWD – 15.84 TWD · fair‑value band 1.65 TWD – 3.14 TWD · the 8.89 TWD price screens above the 2.50 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
Follow China Petrochemical Development in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether China Petrochemical Development is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
China Petrochemical Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells of petroleum, alkali-chlorine, phosphoric acid, and other petrochemical products and by-products in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally.
Show more
China Petrochemical Development Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells of petroleum, alkali-chlorine, phosphoric acid, and other petrochemical products and by-products in Taiwan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It also provides caprolactam for use as a raw material for making nylon-6 fibers and resin; acrylonitrile, a raw material for acrylic fibers and ABS plastic; nylon chips, including fiber nylon and engineering plastic grade nylon chips, and film; ammonium sulfate, which is used as a ground or top fertilizer in agriculture; hydrogen cyanide, a transparent liquid for use as a raw material for manufacturing MMA; acrylonitrile; and refined sulfuric acid for various applications, as well as O-Phenylphenol, a raw material for downstream applications. In addition, it is involved in the investment and development of real estate properties; technical advisory; petrochemical supporting facility construction; engineering and construction contracting business; biotechnology and pharmaceutical research, development, and marketing business; wholesale of building materials; fertilizer storage, transport, purchase, and marketing business; trading of petrochemicals, electronic chemicals, industrial gases, and gas mixtures; and water treatment, plumbing, apparatus, and instrument installation work, refrigeration and air conditioning engineering, and tank car repair services, as well as offers mechanical engineering services. Further, it commissions to build housing and commercial buildings, as well as plant rental business; and manages land developments and playgrounds, and other investment businesses, as well as storage, transportation, procurement, and sale of items and related chemicals and chemicals materials. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) currently trades at 8.89 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.50 TWD, 71.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 1.65 TWD (bear) to 3.14 TWD (bull), the price of 8.89 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
China Petrochemical Development Corp reported revenue of 19.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 35.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −14.0%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0B TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 34.0B TWD (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 2.10 · EPS (TTM) −0.7800 TWD · Net margin −15.4% · Return on equity −3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin −2.9% · Revenue (TTM) 15.8B TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −72%, 1314 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.65 TWDFair Value 2.50 TWDBull 3.14 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.9/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.0% (2020) → −18.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare China Petrochemical Development Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 708 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−71.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−19.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−2.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.07× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 41
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Petrochemical Development Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1314
Frequently asked questions
Is China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.50 TWD versus a price of 8.89 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1314?
Our model-based fair value for China Petrochemical Development Corp is 2.50 TWD (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.89 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1314?
China Petrochemical Development Corp has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.50 TWD (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.65 TWD, optimistic scenario 3.14 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Petrochemical Development Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.50 TWD, about −72% upside versus a price of 8.89 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.65 TWD, optimistic scenario 3.14 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
China Petrochemical Development Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Petrochemical Development Corp it is 2.50 TWD per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of 8.89 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Petrochemical Development Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, 1314 trades above its calculated fair value: price 8.89 TWD, fair value 2.50 TWD, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1314?
No. The price is what the market pays today (8.89 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.50 TWD). For China Petrochemical Development Corp the two are 6.39 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Petrochemical Development Corp worth?
The market values China Petrochemical Development Corp at about 34.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is 8.89 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 2.50 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1314?
Our models span a range for China Petrochemical Development Corp: cautious scenario 1.65 TWD, base 2.50 TWD, optimistic 3.14 TWD per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price 8.89 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Petrochemical Development Corp (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity −3.9%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1314 from its 52-week high?
China Petrochemical Development Corp trades at 8.89 TWD, about 15% below its 52-week high of 10.40 TWD and 32% above the low of 6.72 TWD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.50 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Petrochemical Development Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Petrochemical Development Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price 8.89 TWD, calculated fair value 2.50 TWD (−72%), Quality Score 37/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1314 calculated?
We run China Petrochemical Development Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.50 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China Petrochemical Development Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 8.89 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 2.50 TWD, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Petrochemical Development Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.14 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.65 TWD to 3.14 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of China Petrochemical Development Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
The market capitalisation of China Petrochemical Development Corp is 34.0B TWD (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Petrochemical Development Corp is 2.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
Earnings per share at China Petrochemical Development Corp are −0.7800 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
The net margin of China Petrochemical Development Corp is −15.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Petrochemical Development Corp is −3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Petrochemical Development Corp is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
The operating margin of China Petrochemical Development Corp is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
Revenue at China Petrochemical Development Corp is growing −20.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314)?
Earnings per share at China Petrochemical Development Corp are growing +20.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) generate?
The free cash flow of China Petrochemical Development Corp is −4.3B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Petrochemical Development Corp (1314) carry?
The net debt of China Petrochemical Development Corp is 38.5B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch China Petrochemical Development Corp in the live analysis
One click puts China Petrochemical Development Corp on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
