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Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd stock HK$6.23, price HK$2.40, upside +159.6%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate HK · Based in China

XA Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd

1354 · HK

Cheap (61% below fair value), but weak company and falling price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Fair value HK$6.23 · Strongly undervalued 
Low debt 
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 82% above the price (HK$4.36). 
Quality 45/100 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.5 %/yr in CNY) 
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM) 
Mixed vs. peers (5/9) 
Moderate moat 48/100
Falling price (downtrend) 
Negative free cash flow over the last twelve months 
Thin data 
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$41.25 HK$1.67 Fair Value HK$6.23 Jul 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

28‑month range HK$1.67 – HK$41.25 · fair‑value band HK$4.36 – HK$7.52 · the HK$2.40 price screens below the HK$6.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Xi'an Kingfar Property Services Co., Ltd. provides city, residential property management, and commercial property management services in the People's Republic of China.

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The company offers public property management services for government buildings, education institutes, and hospitals; municipal management services, such as cleaning and maintenance, household garbage collection, and municipal waste collection services; and municipal value-added services, including catering services, public parking management services and commissioned administrative services.

It also offers residential property management services comprising basic property management and value-added services for residential properties; and commercial property management services, including office buildings, industrial parks, and factories.

The company was formerly known as Xi'an Kingfar Property Management Co., Ltd. Xi'an Kingfar Property Services Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Xi'an, China. Xi'an Kingfar Property Services Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Xi'an Kingfar Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354) currently trades at HK$2.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.23, implying the stock looks roughly 61% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$27.34 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$2.40 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$3.17, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$4.36 (bear) to HK$7.52 (bull), the price of HK$2.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 594M CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.6%/yr. Reported net income was 62.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding +17.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$160M (≈ $20.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 49.2 · P/S ratio 2.99 · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 20.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.9% · Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at 160%, 1354 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$4.36 Fair Value HK$6.23 Bull HK$7.52
Price HK$2.40 · Upside +159.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF HK$13.26 HK$17.71 HK$25.36 81
Growth DCF HK$13.18 HK$17.15 HK$23.68 79
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$22.47 HK$36.92 HK$55.60 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$13.26 HK$17.71 HK$25.36 81
5Y Revenue Exit HK$17.90 HK$27.34 HK$40.56 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$22.47 HK$36.92 HK$55.60 74
10Y Revenue Exit HK$15.83 HK$24.20 HK$37.77 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$19.24 HK$31.15 HK$50.32 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$14.01 HK$18.67 HK$23.34 58
P/B Multiple HK$8.19 HK$10.91 HK$13.64 55
EV/EBIT HK$30.29 HK$37.78 HK$45.27 66
EV/EBITDA HK$28.43 HK$35.30 HK$42.16 67
EV/Revenue HK$20.21 HK$25.53 HK$30.84 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.09 HK$3.17 HK$3.96 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$13.18 HK$17.15 HK$23.68 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.90 HK$26.92 HK$38.77 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$6.81 HK$9.20 HK$15.90 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 52
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 85
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 43
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 39
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 13
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+16.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 476 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +159.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 20.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 5.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 6.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 49.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)82 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vonovia SE VNA €16.76 €36.43 +117% vs 1354
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $366.83 $529.78 +44% vs 1354
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$39.30 HK$55.32 +41% vs 1354
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €26.86 €23.64 −12% vs 1354
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$31.60 HK$27.21 −14% vs 1354
CBRE Group CBRE $133.12 $89.81 −33% vs 1354
KE Holdings BEKE $17.86 $7.82 −56% vs 1354
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.38 SGD 0.7800 SGD −67% vs 1354
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$25.68 HK$5.88 −77% vs 1354
CoStar Group CSGP $30.96 $6.09 −80% vs 1354

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Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1354

Frequently asked questions

Is Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.23 versus a price of HK$2.40, about +160% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1354?
Our model-based fair value for Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is HK$6.23 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$2.40.
What is the quality score of 1354?
Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.23 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.36, optimistic scenario HK$7.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$6.23, about +160% upside versus a price of HK$2.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.36, optimistic scenario HK$7.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Today's price is already fair in a discounted-cash-flow model if free cash flow at Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd shrinks by more than 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew 17.5 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1354 use?
Our models discount Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd grew 17.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.15 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd it is HK$6.23 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$2.40. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 1354 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$2.40, fair value HK$6.23, a gap of about +160% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1354?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$2.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.23). For Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd the two are HK$3.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd worth?
The market values Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd at about HK$160M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$2.40; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1354?
Our models span a range for Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$4.36, base HK$6.23, optimistic HK$7.52 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$2.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1354?
Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.2 (as of Nov 10, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$6.23 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity 20.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1354 from its 52-week high?
Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd trades at HK$2.40, about 40% below its 52-week high of HK$4.00 and 44% above the low of HK$1.67 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$2.40, calculated fair value HK$6.23 (+160%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1354 calculated?
We run Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd through 14 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$6.23 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd currently trades 61% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$2.40. Our model-based fair value is HK$6.23, about +160% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (45/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$4.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The market capitalisation of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is HK$160M (≈ $20.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is 2.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The net margin of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
The operating margin of Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Revenue at Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd is growing 24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354)?
Earnings per share at Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd are growing 6.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd (1354) hold?
Xi'an Kingfar Ppty Svcs Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 444M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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