1405 (1405) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$4.2B

1 1405 1405 · HK

PriceHK$29.46

Fair ValueHK$38.87

Upside+31.9%

Quality38/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$29.13 – HK$48.95

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −21.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$26.87 – HK$97.86 · fair‑value band HK$29.13 – HK$48.95 · the HK$29.46 price screens below the HK$38.87 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1405 (1405) currently trades at HK$29.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$38.87 — implying the stock looks roughly 31.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1405 generated revenue of HK$5.4B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$5.4B

Revenue growth (YoY) +22.7%

Net margin 2.6%

Return on equity 6.1%

Free cash flow HK$438M FY2025

P/E ratio 26.2

More key figures

Operating margin 4.5%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.4900

EPS growth (YoY) +65.4%

Net debt HK$1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1405 reported revenue of HK$5.2B in FY2025 versus HK$1.6B in FY2021, a compound +34.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$138M in FY2025.

Revenue +34.3%/yr

FY21 HK$1.6B

FY22 HK$2.0B

FY23 HK$3.1B

FY24 HK$4.3B

FY25 HK$5.2B

Net income

FY21 −HK$471M

FY22 −HK$223M

FY23 −HK$26.6M

FY24 HK$55.2M

FY25 HK$138M

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Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD	4,928 MXN	1,948 MXN	-60%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX	C$27.68	C$7.44	-73%
Compass Group CMPGF	$32.59	$24.90	-24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS	C$12.49	C$9.29	-26%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM	$150.74	$59.42	-61%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR	$72.66	$34.01	-53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1405 (1405) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$38.87 versus a price of HK$29.46 — about +32% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1405?

Our model-based fair value for 1405 is HK$38.87 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$29.46.

What is the quality score of 1405?

1405 has a Quality Score of 38/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1405 (1405)?

1405 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1405?

The net profit margin of 1405 is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.