China Tianbao Group Dev Co Ltd (1427) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$180M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.5130 to HK$0.5730 (+11.7%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 170% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4340). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4340 to HK$0.8590) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1490 – HK$4.35 · fair‑value band HK$0.4340 – HK$0.8590 · the HK$0.2120 price screens below the HK$0.5730 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Tianbao Group Dev Co Ltd (1427) currently trades at HK$0.2120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5730, implying the stock looks roughly 170.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Tianbao Group Dev Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of -7.3%. Revenue declined 28.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.3%. Net debt stands at HK$1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4340 (bear case) to HK$0.8590 (bull case); at HK$0.2120, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 170%, 1427 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Tianbao Group Development Company Limited operates as a property developer and construction company in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Property Development and Others, and Construction Contracting.
Full company description
China Tianbao Group Development Company Limited operates as a property developer and construction company in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Property Development and Others, and Construction Contracting. The Property Development segment develops and sells residential properties, as well as leases and operates investment property. The Construction Contracting segment provides construction contracting services primarily as a general contractor for building construction projects; and infrastructure construction projects, such as urban roads, bridges, facilities for water supply and treatment, urban pipelines, city squares, and street lighting. It also undertakes industrial and commercial construction projects comprising steel structure, horticulture, buildings, industrial buildings, and preservation of antiquities and historical buildings. This segment serves property developers and local government entities. China Tianbao Group Development Company Limited was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Zhuozhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Tianbao Group Dev Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$2.9B in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$124M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 128.80 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 66.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +8% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,591 | ₹645.21 | -59% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,905 | ₹701.74 | -63% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 17.55 SAR | 11.60 SAR | -34% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 54.08 | kr 70.70 | +31% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.94 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,954 CLP | 2,740 CLP | -31% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥23.19 | ¥4.60 | -80% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 52.49 MXN | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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