Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lily Textile Co Ltd TWD 11.72, price TWD 23.05, upside -49.2%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.60 TWD – 35.50 TWD · fair‑value band 11.72 TWD – 20.30 TWD · the 23.05 TWD price screens above the 11.72 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Lily Logistics Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics and warehousing services in Taiwan. It operates through Sales and Logistics segments.
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Lily Logistics Development Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics and warehousing services in Taiwan. It operates through Sales and Logistics segments. The company offers leasing and tallying services; and specialized picking centers, packaging and processing centers, refrigerated and low-temperature warehousing, and document-based warehousing and distribution. It also engages in the trading, bidding, and agency business of various raw cotton materials, cloth products, and other commodities; and spinning of yarn products. The company was formerly known as Lily Textile Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Lily Logistics Development Co., Ltd. in July 2022. Lily Logistics Development Co., Ltd. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443) currently trades at 23.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.72 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 96.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 20.49 TWD per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the 23.05 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 9.41 TWD, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 11.72 TWD (bear) to 20.30 TWD (bull), the price of 23.05 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lily Textile Co Ltd reported revenue of 980M TWD in FY2025 versus 867M TWD in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 153M TWD in FY2025, compounding −8.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.6B TWD (≈ $113M) · P/E ratio 20.4 · P/S ratio 3.19 · EPS (TTM) 1.13 TWD · Net margin 15.6% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin 36.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −49%, 1443 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.72 TWDFair Value 11.72 TWDBull 20.30 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8297 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 34%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.2%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lily Textile Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1443
Frequently asked questions
Is Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.72 TWD versus a price of 23.05 TWD, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1443?
Our model-based fair value for Lily Textile Co Ltd is 11.72 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1443?
Lily Textile Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.72 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.72 TWD, optimistic scenario 20.30 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lily Textile Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.72 TWD, about −49% upside versus a price of 23.05 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.72 TWD, optimistic scenario 20.30 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Lily Textile Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 951M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lily Textile Co Ltd it is 11.72 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 23.05 TWD. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lily Textile Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1443 trades above its calculated fair value: price 23.05 TWD, fair value 11.72 TWD, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1443?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.05 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.72 TWD). For Lily Textile Co Ltd the two are 11.33 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lily Textile Co Ltd worth?
The market values Lily Textile Co Ltd at about 3.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 23.05 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 11.72 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1443?
Our models span a range for Lily Textile Co Ltd: cautious scenario 11.72 TWD, base 11.72 TWD, optimistic 20.30 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 23.05 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1443?
Lily Textile Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 11.72 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 14.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lily Textile Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 1.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1443 from its 52-week high?
Lily Textile Co Ltd trades at 23.05 TWD, about 20% below its 52-week high of 28.95 TWD and 9% above the low of 21.20 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.72 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lily Textile Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lily Textile Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 23.05 TWD, calculated fair value 11.72 TWD (−49%), Quality Score 43/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1443 calculated?
We run Lily Textile Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.72 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Lily Textile Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 23.05 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 11.72 TWD, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lily Textile Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.30 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Lily Textile Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
The market capitalisation of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 3.6B TWD (≈ $113M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 3.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Earnings per share at Lily Textile Co Ltd are 1.13 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
The net margin of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 15.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
The operating margin of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 36.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Revenue at Lily Textile Co Ltd is growing −11.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443)?
Earnings per share at Lily Textile Co Ltd are growing −4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443) generate?
The free cash flow of Lily Textile Co Ltd is −55.3M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lily Textile Co Ltd (1443) carry?
The net debt of Lily Textile Co Ltd is 4.5B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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