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Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · HK · ISIN KYG8569B1041

SS Sunac Services Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Sunac Services Holdings Ltd

1516 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$2.04 · Strongly undervalued (+150%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.23% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/12)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 25 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$20.17 HK$0.7200 Fair Value HK$2.04 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.7200 – HK$20.17 · fair‑value band HK$1.71 – HK$2.37 · the HK$0.8150 price screens below the HK$2.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Sunac Services Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides property development, cultural tourism city construction and operation, and property management services in the People's Republic of China. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties.

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Sunac Services Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides property development, cultural tourism city construction and operation, and property management services in the People's Republic of China. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties. It also provides property management and operational services; convenient living services comprising community product sales, house cleaning and home repair and maintenance services, partial house renovation and transformation, water sales through community automatic water dispensers, community charging station charging, and property agency services; park operation services, such as park site resource leasing and the renovation and construction waste cleaning services; and value-added services to non-property owners. In addition, the company offers consulting, household, property agency, and engineering services. Sunac Services Holdings Limited was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516) currently trades at HK$0.8150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.04, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$2.53 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.8150 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.15, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.71 (bear) to HK$2.37 (bull), the price of HK$0.8150 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sunac Services Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 6.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was 203M CNY in FY2025, compounding −36.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.5B (≈ $318M) · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0400 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 150%, 1516 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.71 Fair Value HK$2.04 Bull HK$2.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0211 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.26 HK$1.23 HK$1.08 76
EV/EBITDA HK$3.07 HK$3.67 HK$4.27 67
EV/EBIT HK$2.87 HK$3.40 HK$3.93 66
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$0.8600 HK$1.15 HK$1.43 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.8600 HK$1.15 HK$1.43 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.87 HK$3.40 HK$3.93 66
EV/EBITDA HK$3.07 HK$3.67 HK$4.27 67
EV/Revenue HK$2.15 HK$2.53 HK$2.91 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8600 HK$1.15 HK$1.72 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.26 HK$1.23 HK$1.08 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 94
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−22.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 4%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 539 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +142% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)25 · sector 66

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 243,300 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $140.51 $77.03 −45%
Vonovia SE VNA €18.11 €36.67 +103%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €25.67 €25.46 −1%
KE Holdings BEKE $16.93 $7.14 −58%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $346.97 $485.15 +40%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.40 HK$12.35 −49%
CoStar Group CSGP $30.46 $5.00 −84%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$38.16 HK$55.27 +45%
CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI 2.60 SGD 0.4900 SGD −81%

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Sunac Services Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$2.04 +60%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunac Services Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1516

Frequently asked questions

Is Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.04 versus a price of HK$0.8150, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1516?
Our model-based fair value for Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is HK$2.04 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.8150.
What is the quality score of 1516?
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.04 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.71, optimistic scenario HK$2.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunac Services Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.04, about +150% upside versus a price of HK$0.8150 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.71, optimistic scenario HK$2.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Sunac Services Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunac Services Holdings Ltd it is HK$2.04 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.8150. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunac Services Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1516 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.8150, fair value HK$2.04, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1516?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.8150); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.04). For Sunac Services Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunac Services Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Sunac Services Holdings Ltd at about HK$2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.8150; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1516?
Our models span a range for Sunac Services Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.71, base HK$2.04, optimistic HK$2.37 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.8150). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1516?
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 4.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1516 from its 52-week high?
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.8150, about 63% below its 52-week high of HK$2.19 and 18% above the low of HK$0.6900 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunac Services Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunac Services Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.8150, calculated fair value HK$2.04 (+150%), Quality Score 57/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1516 calculated?
We run Sunac Services Holdings Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Sunac Services Holdings Ltd currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Sunac Services Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
The market capitalisation of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is HK$2.5B (≈ $318M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is 0.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Earnings per share at Sunac Services Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
The dividend yield of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is 1.2% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
The net margin of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is 3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
The operating margin of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Revenue at Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is growing −6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516)?
Earnings per share at Sunac Services Holdings Ltd are growing −61.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516) generate?
The free cash flow of Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is −HK$48.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sunac Services Holdings Ltd (1516) hold?
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$3.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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