Plover Bay Technologies Limited (1523) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$8.9B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.7000 to HK$0.9500 (+35.7%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.7300 to HK$1.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.04 – HK$9.80 · fair‑value band HK$0.7300 – HK$1.54 · the HK$7.70 price screens above the HK$0.9500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Plover Bay Technologies Limited (1523) currently trades at HK$7.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9500, implying the stock looks roughly 87.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Plover Bay Technologies Limited generated revenue of HK$130M at a net margin of 34.9%. Revenue grew 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 78.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$63.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.7300 (bear case) to HK$1.54 (bull case); at HK$7.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -88%, 1523 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.29) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Plover Bay Technologies Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, and markets software defined wide area network routers and related products. It engages in the sale of wired SD-WAN routers, wireless SD-WAN routers, and networking peripherals; and provides software licenses, and warranty and support services.
Full company description
Plover Bay Technologies Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, and markets software defined wide area network routers and related products. It engages in the sale of wired SD-WAN routers, wireless SD-WAN routers, and networking peripherals; and provides software licenses, and warranty and support services. The company also offers human resource and intellectual property holding services. It operates in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Lai Chi Kok, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Plover Bay Technologies Limited reported revenue of HK$130M in FY2025 versus HK$74.1M in FY2021, a compound +15.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$45.5M in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +19.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
1523 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 303 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $120.43 | $61.53 | -49% |
| Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 | ¥921.00 | ¥171.09 | -81% |
| Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 | ¥65.60 | ¥28.65 | -56% |
| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | -59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.32 | $3.77 | -63% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $469.74 | $236.33 | -50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥240.05 | ¥43.67 | -82% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | -50% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERICB | kr 97.78 | kr 157.82 | +61% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥35.59 | ¥19.72 | -45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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