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Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd (1842) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$46.8M

GU Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd 1842 · HK
PriceHK$0.0360
Fair ValueHK$0.0662
Upside+83.9%
Quality39/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -9.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0554 – HK$0.0770 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0677 to HK$0.0662 (−2.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −2.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 84% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0554). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.17 HK$0.0350 Fair Value HK$0.0662 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0350 – HK$2.17 · fair‑value band HK$0.0554 – HK$0.0770 · the HK$0.0360 price screens below the HK$0.0662 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd (1842) currently trades at HK$0.0360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0662, implying the stock looks roughly 83.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$277M at a net margin of -9.2%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$18.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0554 (bear case) to HK$0.0770 (bull case); at HK$0.0360, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 84%, 1842 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1600 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1300 HK$0.1500 HK$0.1700 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.1400 HK$0.1700 HK$0.2100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0900 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1300 HK$0.1400 HK$0.1600 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1300 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1700) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$277M
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.0%
Net margin -9.2%
Return on equity -21.4%
Free cash flow HK$9.7M FY2025
Operating margin -12.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -64.9%
Net cash HK$18.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 14
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the designing, developing, sourcing, manufacturing, and selling of bag, luggage, and accessories in Hong Kong, Europe, North America, the People's Republic of China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the designing, developing, sourcing, manufacturing, and selling of bag, luggage, and accessories in Hong Kong, Europe, North America, the People's Republic of China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers medical related products, tool storage products, and tool accessories. The company is also involved in the provision of product development and supply chain services for bags and luggage; trading of bags and luggage; and provision of management service. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Tai Po, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$277M in FY2025 versus HK$305M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$25.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$277M
Latest YoY
−9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.8%
Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 HK$305M
FY22 HK$394M
FY23 HK$292M
FY24 HK$307M
FY25 HK$277M
Net income
FY21 −HK$1.3M
FY22 −HK$466K
FY23 HK$1.1M
FY24 −HK$4.4M
FY25 −HK$25.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1842

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +94% · Top 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 13
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $40.51 $35.63 -12%
adidas AG 1ADS €158.15 €65.71 -58%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $93.84 $125.16 +33%
On Holding ONON $30.91 $17.53 -43%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥11.81 ¥13.03 +10%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $36.74 $44.59 +21%
Crocs, Inc CROX $130.61 $203.65 +56%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥36.73 ¥51.36 +40%
PUMA SE PUM €26.69 €10.57 -60%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$13.64 HK$4.04 -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd (1842) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0662 versus a price of HK$0.0360, about +84% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1842?
Our model-based fair value for Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0662 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0360.
What is the quality score of 1842?
Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd (1842)?
Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$277M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1842?
The net profit margin of Grown Up Group Investment Holdings Ltd is about -9.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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