1869 (1869) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$141M

1 1869 1869 · HK

PriceHK$0.1000

Fair ValueHK$0.1000

Upside+0.0%

Quality41/100

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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1500

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Share price +6.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.0690 – HK$0.1420 · fair‑value band HK$0.0800 – HK$0.1500 · the HK$0.1000 price screens below the HK$0.1000 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1869 (1869) currently trades at HK$0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000 — implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 1869 generated revenue of HK$106M at a net margin of -4.4%. Revenue declined 35.7% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$20.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$106M

Revenue growth (YoY) -35.7%

Net margin -4.4%

Free cash flow −HK$6.1M FY2025

Operating margin -43.4%

EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100

More key figures

Net debt HK$20.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1869 reported revenue of HK$106M in FY2025 versus HK$275M in FY2021, a compound −21.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.7M in FY2025.

Revenue −21.1%/yr

FY21 HK$275M

FY22 HK$136M

FY23 HK$179M

FY24 HK$140M

FY25 HK$106M

Net income

FY21 −HK$92.4M

FY22 −HK$41.4M

FY23 HK$8.0M

FY24 −HK$48.7M

FY25 −HK$4.7M

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Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD	4,928 MXN	2,845 MXN	-42%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX	C$27.68	C$5.93	-79%
Compass Group CMPGF	$32.63	$24.90	-24%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS	C$12.49	C$6.55	-48%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM	$150.74	$59.42	-61%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR	$73.20	$42.90	-41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1869 (1869) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1000 versus a price of HK$0.1000 — about +0% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1869?

Our model-based fair value for 1869 is HK$0.1000 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1000.

What is the quality score of 1869?

1869 has a Quality Score of 41/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1869 (1869)?

1869 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$106M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1869?

The net profit margin of 1869 is about -4.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.