1909 (1909) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · Market cap HK$430M
Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Share price −9.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range HK$1.48 – HK$3.16 · fair‑value band HK$0.6900 – HK$0.8400 · the HK$1.77 price screens above the HK$0.7600 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.
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1909 (1909) currently trades at HK$1.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7600 — implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, 1909 generated revenue of HK$146M at a net margin of -44.1%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$109M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
1909 reported revenue of HK$146M in FY2025 versus HK$1.0B in FY2021, a compound −38.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$64.4M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.