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Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd (1930) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$257M

SA Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd 1930 · HK
PriceHK$0.3650
Fair ValueHK$0.4959
Upside+35.9%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.58% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.3542 – HK$0.6258 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.4200 to HK$0.4959 (+18.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −7.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.3542 (bear) to HK$0.6258 (bull), base HK$0.4959. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4316 HK$0.2092 Fair Value HK$0.4959 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2092 – HK$0.4316 · fair‑value band HK$0.3542 – HK$0.6258 · the HK$0.3650 price screens below the HK$0.4959 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd (1930) currently trades at HK$0.3650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4959, implying the stock looks roughly 35.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd generated revenue of HK$301M at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 52.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$11.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3542 (bear case) to HK$0.6258 (bull case); at HK$0.3650, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 36%, 1930 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 80
Residual Income HK$0.3700 HK$0.3500 HK$0.2800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0800 HK$0.0800 HK$0.0800 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.3300 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6300 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1000 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2000 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.2300 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5900 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.2500 HK$0.4300 HK$0.6300 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1700 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1700 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4300 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.1800 HK$0.3000 HK$0.4600 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1600 HK$0.5600 HK$0.7500 54
Lynch FV HK$0.1300 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2400 46
EPV HK$0.0800 HK$0.0800 HK$0.0800 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0400 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0400 HK$0.0700 HK$0.0800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.3800 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6300 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 HK$0.4900 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.1600 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2400 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3900 HK$0.5000 HK$0.6100 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 HK$0.1900 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.2800 HK$0.3700 HK$0.5600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.3700 HK$0.3500 HK$0.2800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0800 HK$0.0800 HK$0.0800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2600 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4800 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3900) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$301M
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.2%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow HK$3.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.2%
Net cash HK$11.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Limited, an investment holding company, designs and develops moulding services and solutions in Mainland China and internationally.

Full company description

Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Limited, an investment holding company, designs and develops moulding services and solutions in Mainland China and internationally. The company engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of customized hot-pressing, hydroforming, and automative injection molds for use in auto manufacturing, as well as bicolour injection moulds, and TV injection moulds; and customized plastic molds for the production of electrical appliances and other parts. It is also involved in the modification of molds; and processing of machine parts that are used in automotive and electrical appliance molds. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and sells laser devices, as well as offers product analysis, mould design and development, mould fabrication, assembling, testing and adjustment, trial production and after-sales services. Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Limited was founded in 2002 and is based in Kunshan, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd reported revenue of HK$301M in FY2025 versus HK$222M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$15.1M in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$301M
Latest YoY
+26.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 HK$222M
FY22 HK$199M
FY23 HK$219M
FY24 HK$238M
FY25 HK$301M
Net income −8.1%/yr
FY21 HK$21.2M
FY22 HK$17.3M
FY23 HK$20.6M
FY24 HK$16.0M
FY25 HK$15.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1930

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +36% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 52% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 24
PAST 17 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd (1930) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4959 versus a price of HK$0.3650, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1930?
Our model-based fair value for Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd is HK$0.4959 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3650.
What is the quality score of 1930?
Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd (1930)?
Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$301M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1930?
The net profit margin of Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd pay a dividend?
Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.58% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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