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CPM Group Ltd (1932) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$183M

CG CPM Group Ltd 1932 · HK
PriceHK$0.1480
Fair ValueHK$0.2400
Upside+62.2%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -19.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −16.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 62% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1800 to HK$0.3500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4900 HK$0.1210 Fair Value HK$0.2400 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1210 – HK$0.4900 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$0.1480 price screens below the HK$0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

CPM Group Ltd (1932) currently trades at HK$0.1480, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 62.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CPM Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$241M at a net margin of -19.1%. Revenue declined 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.5%. Net debt stands at HK$9.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1800 (bear case) to HK$0.3500 (bull case); at HK$0.1480, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at 62%, 1932 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1800 HK$0.2400 HK$0.3500 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$241M
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.1%
Net margin -19.1%
Return on equity -12.5%
Free cash flow −HK$2.9M FY2025
Operating margin -9.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -49.9%
Net debt HK$9.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CPM Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells paint and coating products in Hong Kong and the Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Paint Products and Property Investment.

Full company description

CPM Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells paint and coating products in Hong Kong and the Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Paint Products and Property Investment. The company offers industrial paint and coating products used in furniture painting, manufacturing and surface finishing for materials used by manufacturers, renovation contractors for property and infrastructure projects, and household users. It also provides architectural paint and coating products for walls, floors, and exterior parts of buildings in commercial and residential properties; and general paint and coating, and ancillary products, such as thinners, enamels, and anti-mold agents and solvent agents for architectural and industrial applications. In addition, the company invests in commercial and industrial properties. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. CPM Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of CNT Enterprises Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CPM Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$241M in FY2025 versus HK$843M in FY2021, a compound −26.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$46.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$241M
Latest YoY
−25.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.1%
Revenue −26.9%/yr
FY21 HK$843M
FY22 HK$643M
FY23 HK$469M
FY24 HK$321M
FY25 HK$241M
Net income
FY21 −HK$59.4M
FY22 −HK$98.5M
FY23 −HK$67.1M
FY24 −HK$47.9M
FY25 −HK$46.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CPM Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1932

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 670 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +62% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -22% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.10× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $479.43 $222.03 -54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥75.06 ¥68.03 -9%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 416.10 kr 170.02 -59%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CPM Group Ltd (1932) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2400 versus a price of HK$0.1480, about +62% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1932?
Our model-based fair value for CPM Group Ltd is HK$0.2400 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1480.
What is the quality score of 1932?
CPM Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CPM Group Ltd (1932)?
CPM Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$241M (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1932?
The net profit margin of CPM Group Ltd is about -19.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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