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Kering SA (1KER) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kering SA €69.73, price €210, upside -66.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 2, 2026
Kering SA
1KER · MIStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value €69.73 · Strongly overvalued (−66.8%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −10.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.4% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €152.77 – €690.71 · the €210.20 price screens above the €69.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Kering SA manages the development of a collection of renowned houses in fashion, leather goods, and jewelry in the Asia Pacific, Western Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company provides ready-to-wear products, accessories, and beauty products for men and women.
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Kering SA manages the development of a collection of renowned houses in fashion, leather goods, and jewelry in the Asia Pacific, Western Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company provides ready-to-wear products, accessories, and beauty products for men and women. It also offers leather goods and shoes; watches and jewelry; eyewear products; and fragrances and cosmetics. The company provides its products under the Gucci, Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, Balenciaga, Alexander McQueen, Brioni, Boucheron, Pomellato, DoDo, Qeelin, and Ginori 1735, as well as Kering Eyewear and Kering Beauté brands. Kering SA was formerly known as PPR SA. and changed its name to Kering SA in May 2013. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Kering SA (1KER) currently trades at €210.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €69.73, 66.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €147.38 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the €210.20 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at €9.76, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Kering SA reported revenue of €14.7B in FY2025 versus €20.4B in FY2022, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was €72.0M in FY2025, compounding −72.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €30.0B · P/S ratio 2.05 · EPS (TTM) €−0.2300 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4% · Operating margin 11.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −67%, 1KER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €69.73
Fair Value €69.73
Bull €69.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
€170.03
€255.98
€415.17
76
Growth DCF
€180.22
€263.64
€406.34
74
Residual Income
€81.35
€76.27
€72.83
73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€170.03
€255.98
€415.17
76
Owner Earnings
€92.05
€147.38
€249.86
71
5Y Revenue Exit
€92.10
€139.36
€207.68
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
€177.34
€286.93
€432.12
71
5Y P/E Exit
€40.54
€50.08
€62.30
69
10Y Revenue Exit
€118.37
€156.36
€195.41
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
€172.75
€247.61
€327.17
66
10Y P/E Exit
€89.71
€101.15
€110.06
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€3.99
€4.88
€5.49
65
EPV
€51.20
€67.88
€82.48
71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€55.11
€60.32
€68.26
67
DDM Multi-Stage
€55.11
€69.15
€88.82
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€9.69
€12.92
€16.15
63
P/S Multiple
€7.49
€9.98
€12.48
58
P/B Multiple
€7.49
€9.98
€12.48
55
EV/EBIT
€130.69
€190.55
€250.41
65
EV/EBITDA
€220.86
€310.77
€400.69
67
EV/Revenue
€51.66
€94.74
€137.82
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€59.97
€80.35
€119.93
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€180.22
€263.64
€406.34
74
Rev-Margin DCF
€92.10
€144.49
€210.57
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€81.35
€76.27
€72.83
73
ROIC Compounder
€51.20
€67.88
€82.48
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€6.83
€9.76
€12.68
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Profitability
23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−70.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−72.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 11%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.7% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+0.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.7%
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- Kering: Statement Number of Shares and voting rights
- Sophie Maddaloni appointed General Secretary of Kering
- KERING LAUNCHES ITS KERING GENERATION AWARD IN INDIA IN PARTNERSHIP WITH RELIANCE BRANDS LIMITED
- Is Kering (ENXTPA:KER) Undervalued After Its Jewelry Leadership Reshuffle?
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $113.88 | $109.95 | −3% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$10.97 | HK$11.97 | +9% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 35.70 | CHF 21.74 | −39% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$38.68 | HK$62.43 | +61% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 836.20 | kr 1,424 | +70% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$340.20 | HK$372.96 | +10% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €80.80 | €34.95 | −57% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Kering SA (1KER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €69.73 versus a price of €210.20, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1KER?
Our model-based fair value for Kering SA is €69.73 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €210.20.
What is the quality score of 1KER?
Kering SA has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kering SA (1KER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €69.73 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kering SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €69.73, about −67% upside versus a price of €210.20 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kering SA (1KER)?
Kering SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €14.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Kering SA pay a dividend?
Kering SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kering SA (1KER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kering SA would have to grow free cash flow by +8.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew -10.3 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1KER use?
Our models discount Kering SA at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.98, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kering SA that is +8.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kering SA (1KER) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Kering SA grew -10.3 % a year. The price currently implies +8.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kering SA (1KER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kering SA (+8.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kering SA (1KER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.81 %: that much free cash flow Kering SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kering SA (1KER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kering SA it is €69.73 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of €210.20. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kering SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1KER trades above its calculated fair value: price €210.20, fair value €69.73, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1KER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€210.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€69.73). For Kering SA the two are €140.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kering SA worth?
The market values Kering SA at about €30.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is €210.20; our models calculate a fair value of €69.73 per share.
How far is 1KER from its 52-week high?
Kering SA trades at €210.20, about 38% below its 52-week high of €337.75 and at the low of €210.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €69.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kering SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kering SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price €210.20, calculated fair value €69.73 (−67%), Quality Score 51/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1KER calculated?
We run Kering SA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €69.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kering SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kering SA (1KER)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €210.20. Our model-based fair value is €69.73, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kering SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€69.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Kering SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Kering SA (1KER)?
The market capitalisation of Kering SA is €30.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kering SA (1KER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kering SA is 2.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kering SA (1KER)?
Earnings per share at Kering SA are €−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kering SA (1KER)?
The dividend yield of Kering SA is 1.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kering SA (1KER)?
The net margin of Kering SA is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kering SA (1KER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kering SA is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kering SA (1KER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kering SA is 9.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kering SA (1KER)?
The operating margin of Kering SA is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kering SA (1KER)?
Revenue at Kering SA is growing −15.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kering SA (1KER)?
Earnings per share at Kering SA are growing −46.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kering SA (1KER) carry?
The net debt of Kering SA is €8.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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