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Christian Dior SE (CDI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €81.5B

CD Christian Dior SE CDI · PA
Price€435.80
Fair Value€552.53
Upside+26.8%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.15% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: Medium Range €414.40 – €690.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from €414.40 (bear) to €690.66 (bull), base €552.53. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€798.10 €404.90 Fair Value €552.53 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €404.90 – €798.10 · fair‑value band €414.40 – €690.66 · the €435.80 price screens below the €552.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Christian Dior SE (CDI) currently trades at €435.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €552.53, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Christian Dior SE generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at €40.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €414.40 (bear case) to €690.66 (bull case); at €435.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 27%, CDI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €935.07 €1,537 €2,499 80
Residual Income €159.01 €192.95 €429.20 76
Rev-Margin DCF €541.16 €822.90 €1,166 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €927.87 €1,546 €2,540 38
Owner Earnings €507.63 €851.53 €1,405 31
5Y Revenue Exit €541.16 €815.56 €1,161 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1,066 €1,837 €2,763 41
5Y P/E Exit €547.90 €828.68 €1,126 38
10Y Revenue Exit €656.70 €948.59 €1,340 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1,009 €1,673 €2,608 37
10Y P/E Exit €673.07 €957.90 €1,312 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €170.78 €634.55 €857.58 54
Lynch FV €152.42 €217.75 €283.07 50
PEG = 1.0 €152.42 €217.75 €283.07 46
EPV €621.75 €728.58 €822.07 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €350.05 €727.82 €1,155 70
DDM Multi-Stage €350.05 €613.72 €763.87 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €414.40 €552.53 €690.66 63
P/S Multiple €320.22 €426.95 €533.69 58
P/B Multiple €320.22 €426.95 €533.69 55
EV/EBIT €1,303 €1,744 €2,185 53
EV/EBITDA €1,262 €1,688 €2,115 54
EV/Revenue €356.96 €518.21 €679.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €67.98 €91.09 €135.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €935.07 €1,537 €2,499 80
Rev-Margin DCF €541.16 €822.90 €1,166 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €159.01 €192.95 €429.20 76
ROIC Compounder €669.34 €844.12 €1,042 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €291.28 €416.11 €540.95 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€948.59) versus Asset-Based (€91.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €80.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow €14.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 19.8%
EPS (TTM) €25.11
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net debt €40.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It offers its fashion and leather goods under the Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Celine, Loewe, Givenchy, Kenzo, Berluti, Pucci, Loro Piana, and Rimowa brands; and wines and spirits under the Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Veuve Clicquot, Krug, Château d'Yquem, Belvedere, Glenmorangie, Bodega Numanthia, Château d'Esclans, Armand de Brignac, Joseph Phelps, and Château Minuty brands. The company also provides perfumes and cosmetics under the Parfums Christian Dior, Guerlain, Parfums Givenchy, Make Up For Ever, Benefit Cosmetics, Fresh, Acqua di Parma, Fenty, Ole Henriksen, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, and Officine Universelle Buly 1803 brand names; and watches and jewelry under the Tiffany, Bvlgari, TAG Heuer, Zenith, Hublot, Chaumet, Fred, L'Epée 1839, and Repossi brands. In addition, it operates retail stores under the Sephora and Le Bon Marché names; publishes Le Parisien-Aujourd'hui en France, a daily newspaper, Paris Match magazine, the Royal Van Lent-Feadship brand, and La Samaritaine; and operates hotel and the Cova pastry shop brand. Further, the company is involved in real estate activities. It sells its products through store network, including e-commerce websites; and agents and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Christian Dior SE is a subsidiary of Financière Agache Société Anonyme.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Christian Dior SE reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €64.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€80.8B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+9.4%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 €64.2B
FY22 €79.2B
FY23 €86.2B
FY24 €84.7B
FY25 €80.8B
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 €4.9B
FY22 €5.8B
FY23 €6.3B
FY24 €5.2B
FY25 €4.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Christian Dior SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 132 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.18× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 13
FUTURE 0 · sector 50
PAST 67 · sector 38
HEALTH 75 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne, LV C$11.46 C$11.05 -4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Christian Dior SE (CDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €552.53 versus a price of €435.80, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CDI?
Our model-based fair value for Christian Dior SE is €552.53 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €435.80.
What is the quality score of CDI?
Christian Dior SE has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Christian Dior SE (CDI)?
Christian Dior SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €80.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CDI?
The net profit margin of Christian Dior SE is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Christian Dior SE pay a dividend?
Christian Dior SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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