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China Steel Corp (2002) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Steel Corp TWD 21.59, price TWD 19.20, upside +12.5%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · TW · ISIN TW0002002003

CS China Steel Corp logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China Steel Corp

2002 · TW

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value 21.59 TWD · Undervalued (+12.5%)
!Quality 28/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +0.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.8% dividend yield · Cash covered
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 5.32 TWD to 45.44 TWD
!Weak on future: 22 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

38.85 TWD 17.65 TWD Fair Value 21.59 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.65 TWD – 38.85 TWD · fair‑value band 5.32 TWD – 45.44 TWD · the 19.20 TWD price screens below the 21.59 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Steel Corporation manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally.

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China Steel Corporation manufactures and sells steel products in Taiwan, Vietnam, Malaysia, China, India, and internationally. It offers steel plates primarily for use in construction structures, shipbuilding, bridge beams, oil country tabular goods, machine structures, pressure vessels, and in climate/corrosion-resistant steel plates; steel bars and wire rods for applications in general and machine structures, cold and hot forging, hard drawn steel wires, and welding electrodes; and hot-rolled coils and sheets that are used in automobile chassis, bridge beams, construction, road guardrails, steel pipes, pressure vessels, and landscaping. The company also provides cold-rolled coils for use in automobile stamping parts and home electronics products; parts requiring high-level forming, such as automobile and scooter components; a variety of PSE and structural reinforcement parts; and products requiring surface coating treatment comprising painting, electroplating, and the application of adhesive surfaces. In addition, it offers mechanical, communications, and electrical engineering services; generates solar and offshore wind power; general investment; raw materials shipping and management, and ship chartering; business management and management consulting; on-site and systematic security; technical; firefighting and mechatronic engineering; software design and digital information supply; and ERP systems automation control systems services. Further, the company engages in the wholesale of computer software; production and sale of aluminum and non-ferrous metal products, as well as industrial magnetic, chemical, and iron oxides; development and lease of real estate; buying, selling, and acting as an agency for steel products; and manufacturing and trading of electronic ceramics, and aeronautical or marine life saving products. China Steel Corporation was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

China Steel Corp (2002) currently trades at 19.20 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.59 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 11.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 12.86 TWD per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 19.20 TWD price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 4.98 TWD, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5.32 TWD (bear) to 45.44 TWD (bull), the price of 19.20 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2014: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2014.

China Steel Corp reported revenue of 317B TWD in FY2025 versus 468B TWD in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −4.3B TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 408B TWD (≈ $12.8B) · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) −0.2100 TWD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −1.4% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 4.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 12%, 2002 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5.32 TWD Fair Value 21.59 TWD Bull 45.44 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 2.85 TWD 13.65 TWD 32.01 TWD 71
Growth DCF 2.68 TWD 12.35 TWD 28.10 TWD 70
5Y Revenue Exit n/a 5.05 TWD 13.44 TWD 69
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.85 TWD 13.65 TWD 32.01 TWD 71
5Y Revenue Exit n/a 5.05 TWD 13.44 TWD 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.54 TWD 12.88 TWD 25.92 TWD 68
10Y Revenue Exit n/a 6.21 TWD 15.82 TWD 64
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.52 TWD 11.85 TWD 26.14 TWD 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.99 TWD 5.97 TWD 9.03 TWD 67
DDM Multi-Stage 2.99 TWD 5.16 TWD 6.30 TWD 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 3.47 TWD 8.18 TWD 12.89 TWD 63
EV/Revenue n/a 0.0800 TWD >0.3200 TWD 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.60 TWD 12.86 TWD 19.20 TWD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.68 TWD 12.35 TWD 28.10 TWD 70
Rev-Margin DCF n/a 4.98 TWD 13.09 TWD 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2014: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2014.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.7% (2020) → −1.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.3% a year for the price and +0.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.8%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 403 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +12.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.62× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.60× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)50 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)22 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 50

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $247.25 $116.49 −53%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €59.82 €35.15 −41%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $230.39 $127.93 −44%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,277 ₹1,095 −14%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹187.97 ₹147.10 −22%
Reliance, Inc RS $387.28 $211.55 −45%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.84 ¥8.07 +38%
POSCO Holdings PKX $56.95 $69.30 +22%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.09 ¥0.5300 −75%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.27 −56%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Steel Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2002

Frequently asked questions

Is China Steel Corp (2002) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.59 TWD versus a price of 19.20 TWD, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2002?
Our model-based fair value for China Steel Corp is 21.59 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.20 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2002?
China Steel Corp has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Steel Corp (2002)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.59 TWD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.32 TWD, optimistic scenario 45.44 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Steel Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.59 TWD, about +12% upside versus a price of 19.20 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5.32 TWD, optimistic scenario 45.44 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Steel Corp (2002)?
China Steel Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 317B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does China Steel Corp pay a dividend?
China Steel Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Steel Corp (2002)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Steel Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +24.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2002 use?
Our models discount China Steel Corp at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Steel Corp that is +24.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Steel Corp (2002) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Steel Corp grew +0.2 % a year. The price currently implies +24.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Steel Corp (2002) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Steel Corp (+24.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.09 %: that much free cash flow China Steel Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Steel Corp (2002)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Steel Corp it is 21.59 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 19.20 TWD. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Steel Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2002 trades below its calculated fair value: price 19.20 TWD, fair value 21.59 TWD, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2002?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.20 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.59 TWD). For China Steel Corp the two are 2.39 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Steel Corp worth?
The market values China Steel Corp at about 408B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 19.20 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 21.59 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2002?
Our models span a range for China Steel Corp: cautious scenario 5.32 TWD, base 21.59 TWD, optimistic 45.44 TWD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 19.20 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 2002?
The PEG ratio of China Steel Corp is 4.60 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Steel Corp (2002)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Steel Corp (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2002 from its 52-week high?
China Steel Corp trades at 19.20 TWD, about 10% below its 52-week high of 21.25 TWD and 9% above the low of 17.65 TWD (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.59 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Steel Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Steel Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 19.20 TWD, calculated fair value 21.59 TWD (+12%), Quality Score 28/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2002 calculated?
We run China Steel Corp through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.59 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. China Steel Corp currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was 19.20 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 21.59 TWD, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Steel Corp right now?
The model range is unusually wide (5.32 TWD to 45.44 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of China Steel Corp (2002) come from?
Earnings per share at China Steel Corp grew −22.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.8 %, EBIT margin −22.5 %, tax rate −2.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Steel Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The market capitalisation of China Steel Corp is 408B TWD (≈ $12.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Steel Corp is 0.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Steel Corp (2002)?
Earnings per share at China Steel Corp are −0.2100 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The dividend yield of China Steel Corp is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The net margin of China Steel Corp is −1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Steel Corp is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Steel Corp (2002)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Steel Corp is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Steel Corp (2002)?
The operating margin of China Steel Corp is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Steel Corp (2002)?
Revenue at China Steel Corp is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Steel Corp (2002)?
Earnings per share at China Steel Corp are growing −62.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Steel Corp (2002) carry?
The net debt of China Steel Corp is 261B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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