Camellia Metal Co (2064) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 888M TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −10.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (10.58 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11.10 TWD – 27.74 TWD · fair‑value band 8.65 TWD – 10.58 TWD · the 11.90 TWD price screens above the 9.42 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Camellia Metal Co (2064) currently trades at 11.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.42 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Camellia Metal Co generated revenue of 1.6B TWD at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue grew 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.7%. Net debt stands at 1.0B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.65 TWD (bear case) to 10.58 TWD (bull case); at 11.90 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -21%, 2064 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (9.00 TWD) versus Multiples (7.18 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Camellia Metal Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel bars and wires in Taiwan. It offers low-carbon, middle-carbon, high-carbon, free cutting, alloy, and stainless steel bars and wires, as well as spring steel bars.
Full company description
Camellia Metal Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel bars and wires in Taiwan. It offers low-carbon, middle-carbon, high-carbon, free cutting, alloy, and stainless steel bars and wires, as well as spring steel bars. The company's products are used in motor, mechanical, and office machine shafts, and other materials; high precision materials, including electronics, telecommunications, information, and home appliances; screwdrivers, hexagonal wrenches, sleeves, and other materials; materials for automobiles, bridges, steel structures, construction screws, etc.; automotive coil springs, torsion bars, and balance bars materials; and materials for medical, aerospace technology, household appliances, etc. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Lukang, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Camellia Metal Co reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was −89.9M TWD in FY2025.
2064 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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