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Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Camellia Metal Co Ltd stock TWD 9.00, price TWD 11.00, that is 18.2% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials TW · ISIN TW0002064003

CM Camellia Metal Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Camellia Metal Co Ltd

2064 · TWO
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 18% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +25% vs. a year ago.
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin (TTM)
Fair value 9.00 TWD · Overvalued
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.2 %/yr in TWD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 16/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

27.74 TWD 11.00 TWD Fair Value 9.00 TWD Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 11.00 TWD – 27.74 TWD · fair‑value band 6.72 TWD – 13.43 TWD · the 11.00 TWD price screens above the 9.00 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Camellia Metal Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of steel bars and wires in Taiwan. It offers low-carbon, middle-carbon, high-carbon, free cutting, alloy, and stainless steel bars and wires, as well as spring steel bars.

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The company's products are used in motor, mechanical, and office machine shafts, and other materials; high precision materials, including electronics, telecommunications, information, and home appliances; screwdrivers, hexagonal wrenches, sleeves, and other materials; materials for automobiles, bridges, steel structures, construction screws, etc.; automotive coil springs, torsion bars, and balance bars materials; and materials for medical, aerospace technology, household appliances, etc.

The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Lukang, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064) currently trades at 11.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.00 TWD, 18% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 6.72 TWD (bear) to 13.43 TWD (bull), the price of 11.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Camellia Metal Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −12.5%/yr. Reported net income was −89.9M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 766M TWD (≈ $23.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 550.0 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 TWD · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −18%, 2064 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 6.72 TWD Fair Value 9.00 TWD Bull 13.43 TWD
Price 11.00 TWD · Downside -18.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0172 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 6.72 TWD 9.00 TWD 13.43 TWD 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.72 TWD 9.00 TWD 13.43 TWD 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 11
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 5
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 32
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 88
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 31
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.8% (2020) → −4.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2064 screens overvalued: fair value 18% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −18.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −3.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 24.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 550.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.44× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)9 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)1 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.11 ¥8.07 +32% vs 2064
POSCO Holdings 005490 265,000 KRW 240,001 KRW −9% vs 2064
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.30 ₹148.06 −21% vs 2064
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,357 ₹1,029 −24% vs 2064
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €54.82 €36.21 −34% vs 2064
Reliance, Inc RS $417.00 $211.54 −49% vs 2064
Nucor Corporation NUE $244.97 $116.49 −52% vs 2064
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.03 −56% vs 2064
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $222.90 $89.54 −60% vs 2064
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥1.99 ¥0.5400 −73% vs 2064

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Camellia Metal Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Camellia Metal Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2064

Frequently asked questions

Is Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.00 TWD versus a price of 11.00 TWD, about 18% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2064?
Our model-based fair value for Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 9.00 TWD (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 11.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2064?
Camellia Metal Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.00 TWD (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.72 TWD, optimistic scenario 13.43 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Camellia Metal Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.00 TWD, about 18% lower versus a price of 11.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.72 TWD, optimistic scenario 13.43 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Camellia Metal Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Camellia Metal Co Ltd it is 9.00 TWD per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 11.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Camellia Metal Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 2064 trades above its calculated fair value: price 11.00 TWD, fair value 9.00 TWD, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2064?
No. The price is what the market pays today (11.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.00 TWD). For Camellia Metal Co Ltd the two are 2.00 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Camellia Metal Co Ltd worth?
The market values Camellia Metal Co Ltd at about 766M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 11.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.00 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2064?
Our models span a range for Camellia Metal Co Ltd: cautious scenario 6.72 TWD, base 9.00 TWD, optimistic 13.43 TWD per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 11.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Balance-sheet figures for Camellia Metal Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 0.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2064 from its 52-week high?
Camellia Metal Co Ltd trades at 11.00 TWD, about 29% below its 52-week high of 15.40 TWD and at the low of 11.00 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.00 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Camellia Metal Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Camellia Metal Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 11.00 TWD, calculated fair value 9.00 TWD (−18%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2064 calculated?
We run Camellia Metal Co Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 9.00 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Camellia Metal Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 11.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.00 TWD, about 18% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Camellia Metal Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (6.72 TWD to 13.43 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Camellia Metal Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The market capitalisation of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 766M TWD (≈ $23.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 550.0. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 0.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Earnings per share at Camellia Metal Co Ltd are 0.0200 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 550.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The net margin of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
The operating margin of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Revenue at Camellia Metal Co Ltd is growing +24.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064)?
Earnings per share at Camellia Metal Co Ltd are growing −44.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064) generate?
The free cash flow of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is −53.9M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Camellia Metal Co Ltd (2064) carry?
The net debt of Camellia Metal Co Ltd is 1.0B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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