HNA Technology Investments Holdings Ltd (2086) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$158M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1300 to HK$0.1500 (+15.4%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +14.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3500 – HK$1.85 · fair‑value band HK$0.1300 – HK$0.1800 · the HK$0.5200 price screens above the HK$0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HNA Technology Investments Holdings Ltd (2086) currently trades at HK$0.5200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, HNA Technology Investments Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$91.5M at a net margin of -5.6%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$16.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1300 (bear case) to HK$0.1800 (bull case); at HK$0.5200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -71%, 2086 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.1600) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Leadway Technology Investment Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, sells, and distributes smart card products, software, and hardware in Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. It provides smart card-related services.
Full company description
Leadway Technology Investment Group Limited, an investment holding company, develops, sells, and distributes smart card products, software, and hardware in Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, the Middle East, and Africa. It provides smart card-related services. The company also engages in financial technology and smart living business; and provision of management services. The company was formerly known as HNA Technology Investments Holdings Limited and changed its name to Leadway Technology Investment Group Limited in July 2022. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Leadway Technology Investment Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Leadway Development Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HNA Technology Investments Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$91.5M in FY2025 versus HK$98.1M in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$5.1M in FY2025.
2086 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 112 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 360.50 | kr 269.97 | -25% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €9.33 | €12.40 | +33% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $166.11 | $127.80 | -23% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 147.90 | kr 186.34 | +26% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.46 | ¥31.47 | +91% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $192.04 | $116.42 | -39% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.31 | $16.68 | +128% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $113.96 | $121.18 | +6% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $95.12 | $72.32 | -24% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $31.45 | $25.50 | -19% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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