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Formosan Rubber Group (2107) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 7.8B TWD

FR Formosan Rubber Group 2107 · TW
Price25.45 TWD
Fair Value21.70 TWD
Upside-14.7%
Quality70/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 31.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.37% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range 15.19 TWD – 28.09 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −0.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (15.19 TWD to 28.09 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from 15.19 TWD (bear) to 28.09 TWD (bull), base 21.70 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

28.25 TWD 17.79 TWD Fair Value 21.70 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17.79 TWD – 28.25 TWD · fair‑value band 15.19 TWD – 28.09 TWD · the 25.45 TWD price screens above the 21.70 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Formosan Rubber Group (2107) currently trades at 25.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.70 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Formosan Rubber Group generated revenue of 1.4B TWD at a net margin of 35.2%. Revenue grew 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 121M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 15.19 TWD (bear case) to 28.09 TWD (bull case); at 25.45 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -15%, 2107 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 24.76 TWD 31.74 TWD 43.29 TWD 80
Residual Income 32.36 TWD 31.69 TWD 27.55 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 14.78 TWD 17.82 TWD 21.78 TWD 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 23.92 TWD 31.16 TWD 44.16 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 21.88 TWD 28.37 TWD 40.01 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 14.78 TWD 17.34 TWD 21.00 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 17.12 TWD 21.37 TWD 27.01 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.00 TWD 31.56 TWD 41.80 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 18.23 TWD 20.43 TWD 22.57 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 19.74 TWD 22.87 TWD 26.02 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 23.23 TWD 29.03 TWD 34.51 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 11.37 TWD 13.90 TWD 15.64 TWD 54
EPV 10.19 TWD 11.14 TWD 11.97 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 21.33 TWD 28.44 TWD 35.54 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 5.35 TWD 7.13 TWD 8.92 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 21.33 TWD 28.44 TWD 35.54 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 13.92 TWD 17.18 TWD 20.44 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 14.02 TWD 17.31 TWD 20.61 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 9.13 TWD 11.27 TWD 13.41 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.21 TWD 29.76 TWD 44.41 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 24.76 TWD 31.74 TWD 43.29 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 14.78 TWD 17.82 TWD 21.78 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 32.36 TWD 31.69 TWD 27.55 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.19 TWD 11.14 TWD 11.97 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 15.19 TWD 21.70 TWD 28.22 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (29.76 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (11.14 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.6%
Net margin 31.6%
Return on equity 3.4%
Free cash flow 649M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 15.4
More key figures
Operating margin 18.9%
EPS (TTM) 1.67 TWD
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -50.8%
Net cash 121M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Formosan Rubber Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells rubber and plastic sheets, plastic foam, resin sheets, and related materials.

Full company description

Formosan Rubber Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells rubber and plastic sheets, plastic foam, resin sheets, and related materials. The company offers manufacturing and selling products including plastic raincoat material, clip fabric, air beds, polyvinyl chloride rubber, automotive parts, rubber boat material, rubber tape, rubber foam bag fabric, rubber air beds, rubber space bags, polyurethane inflatable beds, and inflatable boat fabric; environmental protection equipment; electronic (IC) products; silicone rubber, resin, oil, sealant, and resin materials; as well as laminated, PU lamination, PU coating, green plastic, and PVC products. It is also involved in the development of residential and commercial buildings for renting and selling; real estate investment and rental, as well as the sale of premises; and warehouse, logistics, and rental and leasing businesses. In addition, the company is involved in operations of cinemas, department stores, and supermarkets. The company products are used in various applications, including functional garments and fabrics, healthcare, industrial and safety products, inflatable products, and optical electronic materials, as well as for use in shoes, and bags and luggage products. It has operations in Taiwan, Europe, Asia, North America, and internationally. The company was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Formosan Rubber Group reported revenue of 1.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −15.2%/yr. Reported net income was 508M TWD in FY2025, compounding −10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B TWD
Latest YoY
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Revenue −15.2%/yr
FY21 2.8B TWD
FY22 1.9B TWD
FY23 1.4B TWD
FY24 1.5B TWD
FY25 1.4B TWD
Net income −10.1%/yr
FY21 778M TWD
FY22 712M TWD
FY23 519M TWD
FY24 573M TWD
FY25 508M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −6.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.0 pp

of which total revenue −8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +4.5 pp

EBIT margin −10.6 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

2107 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Formosan Rubber Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2107

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 14 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 13 · sector 23
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Formosan Rubber Group (2107) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.70 TWD versus a price of 25.45 TWD, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2107?
Our model-based fair value for Formosan Rubber Group is 21.70 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 25.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2107?
Formosan Rubber Group has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Formosan Rubber Group (2107)?
Formosan Rubber Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2107?
The net profit margin of Formosan Rubber Group is about 35.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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