Jinchuan Group (2362) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$8.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3900). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3728 – HK$1.40 · the HK$0.6360 price screens above the HK$0.3900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Jinchuan Group (2362) currently trades at HK$0.6360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3900, implying the stock looks roughly 38.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jinchuan Group generated revenue of HK$482M at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at HK$416M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
The share trades near its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -39%, 2362 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.1000) versus Multiples (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in mining operations in Hong Kong, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Switzerland. It operates through Mining Operations; and Trading of Mineral and Metal Products segments.
Full company description
Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in mining operations in Hong Kong, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Switzerland. It operates through Mining Operations; and Trading of Mineral and Metal Products segments. The company operates Ruashi mine, a copper and cobalt mine located in Lubumbashi in the Haut Katanga province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; the Musonoi mine, a copper and cobalt mine located on the outskirts of Kolwezi in the Lualaba Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; and the Kinsenda mine, a copper mine situated in Haut Katanga Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. It also has interests in the Chibuluma South mine, a copper mine located in Zambia; and the Lubembe project located in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. In addition, the company trades in minerals and metal products. The company was formerly known as Macau Investment Holdings Limited and changed its name to Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd in February 2011. Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jinchuan Group reported revenue of HK$483M in FY2025 versus HK$832M in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$32.7M in FY2025, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2021.
2362 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 58 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $175.66 | $86.74 | -51% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $61.52 | $22.81 | -63% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$34.86 | C$18.67 | -46% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥39.03 | ¥35.19 | -10% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥5.79 | ¥3.06 | -47% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$28.58 | C$21.79 | -24% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥16.66 | ¥7.00 | -58% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$13.06 | A$7.28 | -44% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥14.32 | ¥9.12 | -36% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$14.75 | HK$1.76 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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