WEIli Holdings Ltd (2372) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$1.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range HK$0.1910 – HK$1.35 · fair‑value band HK$0.2700 – HK$0.4100 · the HK$1.01 price screens above the HK$0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
WEIli Holdings Ltd (2372) currently trades at HK$1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 66.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, WEIli Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$106M at a net margin of -3.9%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$85.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2700 (bear case) to HK$0.4100 (bull case); at HK$1.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -66%, 2372 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
WEIli Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sales of cigarette packaging paper in the People's Republic of China. The company offers transfer, laminated, and frame paper. It also provides cigarette packaging paper processing services to cigarette package manufacturers.
Full company description
WEIli Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sales of cigarette packaging paper in the People's Republic of China. The company offers transfer, laminated, and frame paper. It also provides cigarette packaging paper processing services to cigarette package manufacturers. WEIli Holdings Limited was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Huanggang, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
WEIli Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$106M in FY2025 versus HK$370M in FY2021, a compound −26.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.1M in FY2025.
2372 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Philip Morris International Inc →
Peer Group
Tobacco · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Morris International Inc PM | $186.19 | $103.71 | -44% |
| British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI | $55.84 | $61.07 | +9% |
| Altria Group MO | $64.38 | $81.81 | +27% |
| KT&G Corporation 033780 | 177,400 KRW | 110,656 KRW | -38% |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP | 730.00 IDR | 1,041 IDR | +43% |
| Smoore International Holdings 6969 | HK$8.76 | HK$4.19 | -52% |
| Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP | ₹2,160 | ₹1,194 | -45% |
| PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM | 19,575 IDR | 16,988 IDR | -13% |
| TABAK TABAK | 18,700 CZK | 23,215 CZK | +24% |
| China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 | HK$22.82 | HK$24.09 | +6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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