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KT&G Corp (033780) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what KT&G Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · KR · ISIN KR7033780008

KG Some data Sep 18, 2026

KT&G Corp

033780 · KO

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 103,453 KRW · Strongly overvalued (−40%)
!Quality 63/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.4 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·3.45% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range 84,910 KRW to 232,835 KRW
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

189,000 KRW 61,763 KRW Fair Value 103,453 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 61,763 KRW – 189,000 KRW · fair‑value band 84,910 KRW – 232,835 KRW · the 173,800 KRW price screens above the 103,453 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

KT&G Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of tobacco products in South Korea, Europe, and internationally. It provides reconstituent tobacco sheets, red ginseng, red ginseng products, other health foods, food and beverage products, health functional food products, and cosmetic and related products.

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KT&G Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of tobacco products in South Korea, Europe, and internationally. It provides reconstituent tobacco sheets, red ginseng, red ginseng products, other health foods, food and beverage products, health functional food products, and cosmetic and related products. The company also offers leaf tobacco cultivation support services; and develops, manufactures, and distributes drugs, bio-pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter medicines, and medical supplies and equipment. In addition, it engages in the trading, real estate, leasing, and housing businesses. Further, the company engages in hotel development and management activities. The company was formerly known as Korea Tobacco and Ginseng Corporation and changed its name to KT&G Corporation in December 2002. KT&G Corporation was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Daejeon, South Korea.

Stock analysis

KT&G Corp (033780) currently trades at 173,800 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 103,453 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 68.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 188,041 KRW per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the 173,800 KRW price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 56,703 KRW, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 84,910 KRW (bear) to 232,835 KRW (bull), the price of 173,800 KRW sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

KT&G Corp reported revenue of 6.6T KRW in FY2025 versus 5.2T KRW in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T KRW in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 18.3T KRW (≈ $12.8B) · P/S ratio 2.64 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 16.6% · Return on equity 13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% · Operating margin 21.4% · Revenue (TTM) 6.8T KRW.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −40%, 033780 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 84,910 KRW Fair Value 103,453 KRW Bull 232,835 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 77,637 KRW 120,343 KRW 186,819 KRW 75
EPV 88,271 KRW 104,048 KRW 118,071 KRW 74
ROIC Compounder 88,271 KRW 111,428 KRW 141,594 KRW 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 77,637 KRW 120,343 KRW 186,819 KRW 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 71,404 KRW 198,158 KRW 260,352 KRW 65
Lynch FV 39,692 KRW 56,703 KRW 73,714 KRW 61
PEG = 1.0 39,692 KRW 56,703 KRW 73,714 KRW 57
EPV 88,271 KRW 104,048 KRW 118,071 KRW 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 165,384 KRW 220,513 KRW 275,641 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 76,058 KRW 101,411 KRW 126,764 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 133,883 KRW 178,510 KRW 223,138 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 163,900 KRW 218,910 KRW 273,920 KRW 66
EV/EBITDA 152,558 KRW 203,786 KRW 255,015 KRW 67
EV/Revenue 65,422 KRW 93,944 KRW 122,466 KRW 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 44,695 KRW 59,891 KRW 89,389 KRW 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 83,568 KRW 99,848 KRW 208,583 KRW 71
ROIC Compounder 88,271 KRW 111,428 KRW 141,594 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 131,628 KRW 188,041 KRW 244,453 KRW 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 20%

033780 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Philip Morris International Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Tobacco · 38 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper

PEG 3.72× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)69 · sector 79

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Tobacco

Similar stocks

10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Philip Morris International Inc PM $194.11 $103.71 −47%
British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI $56.52 $91.58 +62%
Altria Group MO $69.81 $75.66 +8%
ITC Limited ITC ₹266.20 ₹292.82 +10%
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP 650.00 IDR 1,018 IDR +57%
Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP ₹2,018 ₹1,126 −44%
PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM 17,900 IDR 16,988 IDR −5%
TABAK TABAK 18,800 CZK 23,215 CZK +23%
RLX Technology Inc RLX $1.77 $2.38 +34%
China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 HK$23.42 HK$30.63 +31%

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KT&G Corp · Fair Value
103,453 KRW −68%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KT&G Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/033780

Frequently asked questions

Is KT&G Corp (033780) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 103,453 KRW versus a price of 173,800 KRW, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 033780?
Our model-based fair value for KT&G Corp is 103,453 KRW (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 173,800 KRW.
What is the quality score of 033780?
KT&G Corp has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KT&G Corp (033780)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 103,453 KRW (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 84,910 KRW, optimistic scenario 232,835 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KT&G Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 103,453 KRW, about −40% upside versus a price of 173,800 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 84,910 KRW, optimistic scenario 232,835 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KT&G Corp (033780)?
KT&G Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does KT&G Corp pay a dividend?
KT&G Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KT&G Corp (033780)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KT&G Corp it is 103,453 KRW per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of 173,800 KRW. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KT&G Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 033780 trades above its calculated fair value: price 173,800 KRW, fair value 103,453 KRW, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 033780?
No. The price is what the market pays today (173,800 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (103,453 KRW). For KT&G Corp the two are 70,347 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KT&G Corp worth?
The market values KT&G Corp at about 18.3T KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is 173,800 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 103,453 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 033780?
Our models span a range for KT&G Corp: cautious scenario 84,910 KRW, base 103,453 KRW, optimistic 232,835 KRW per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price 173,800 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 033780?
The PEG ratio of KT&G Corp is 3.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of KT&G Corp (033780)?
Balance-sheet figures for KT&G Corp (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 13.2%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 033780 from its 52-week high?
KT&G Corp trades at 173,800 KRW, about 9% below its 52-week high of 190,000 KRW and 51% above the low of 114,957 KRW (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 103,453 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KT&G Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Philip Morris International Inc, British American Tobacco p.l.c., Altria Group, ITC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KT&G Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price 173,800 KRW, calculated fair value 103,453 KRW (−40%), Quality Score 63/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 033780 calculated?
We run KT&G Corp through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 103,453 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. KT&G Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 173,800 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 103,453 KRW, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KT&G Corp right now?
The model range is unusually wide (84,910 KRW to 232,835 KRW). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of KT&G Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The market capitalisation of KT&G Corp is 18.3T KRW (≈ $12.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KT&G Corp is 2.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The dividend yield of KT&G Corp is 3.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The net margin of KT&G Corp is 16.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KT&G Corp is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KT&G Corp (033780)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KT&G Corp is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KT&G Corp (033780)?
The operating margin of KT&G Corp is 21.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KT&G Corp (033780)?
Revenue at KT&G Corp is growing +14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KT&G Corp (033780)?
Earnings per share at KT&G Corp are growing +54.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does KT&G Corp (033780) generate?
The free cash flow of KT&G Corp is −97.4B KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does KT&G Corp (033780) carry?
The net debt of KT&G Corp is 872B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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