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CX Technology Corp (2415) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of CX Technology Corp TWD 16.05, price TWD 27.00, upside -40.6%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · TW · ISIN TW0002415007

CT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

CX Technology Corp

2415 · TW

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 16.05 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−41%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.78% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

55.29 TWD 19.51 TWD Fair Value 16.05 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 19.51 TWD – 55.29 TWD · fair‑value band 15.03 TWD – 19.05 TWD · the 27.00 TWD price screens above the 16.05 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CX Technology Corporation manufactures and sells cold forgings, stamping, and plastic injection components in Taiwan and internationally.

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CX Technology Corporation manufactures and sells cold forgings, stamping, and plastic injection components in Taiwan and internationally. It offers speaker parts, such as cones, dust caps, back plates, copper caps, front plates, plastic injection and steel baskets, and motor structure assemblies; automotive parts, such as speaker and head unit brackets, head unit shielding, spool housings, pully shafts, inner collars, and pistons; integrated cable routing products; and bobbin cases. The company also provides metal forming, plastic injection molding, CNC machining, surface treatments, sub-assembly, and outsourcing services. In addition, it engages in the production and sale of various metalworks, electronic materials, and electronic parts/components, as well as investment businesses. The company was formerly known as ChainXen Metal Factory Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CX Technology Corporation in May 2000. CX Technology Corporation was founded in 1972 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

CX Technology Corp (2415) currently trades at 27.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.05 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 68.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 49.16 TWD per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the 27.00 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 12.60 TWD, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 15.03 TWD (bear) to 19.05 TWD (bull), the price of 27.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CX Technology Corp reported revenue of 2.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 163M TWD in FY2025, compounding −14.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 3.2B TWD (≈ $98.9M) · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) 1.81 TWD · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −41%, 2415 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 15.03 TWD Fair Value 16.05 TWD Bull 19.05 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9765 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 26.20 TWD 32.70 TWD 42.67 TWD 78
Residual Income 14.70 TWD 15.57 TWD 16.82 TWD 76
EPV 18.62 TWD 20.96 TWD 22.86 TWD 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 26.20 TWD 32.70 TWD 42.67 TWD 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 12.32 TWD 22.17 TWD 27.35 TWD 66
EPV 18.62 TWD 20.96 TWD 22.86 TWD 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 38.04 TWD 50.71 TWD 63.39 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 23.09 TWD 30.79 TWD 38.49 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 23.09 TWD 30.79 TWD 38.49 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 68.40 TWD 91.49 TWD 114.59 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 83.02 TWD 110.98 TWD 138.95 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 34.15 TWD 49.16 TWD 64.17 TWD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.41 TWD 12.60 TWD 18.81 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.70 TWD 15.57 TWD 16.82 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 18.62 TWD 21.21 TWD 23.61 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 26.61 TWD 38.02 TWD 49.42 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13% vs 0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 15%
2025 sits 132% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

2415 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.37× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.86× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.99× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)73 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)82 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)36 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $400.02 $109.07 −73%
ATI Inc ATI $186.56 $39.75 −79%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €167.40 €109.36 −35%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.11 +34%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.25 −80%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CX Technology Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2415

Frequently asked questions

Is CX Technology Corp (2415) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.05 TWD versus a price of 27.00 TWD, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2415?
Our model-based fair value for CX Technology Corp is 16.05 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 27.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2415?
CX Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CX Technology Corp (2415)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.05 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.03 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.05 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CX Technology Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.05 TWD, about −41% upside versus a price of 27.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 15.03 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.05 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
CX Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CX Technology Corp pay a dividend?
CX Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CX Technology Corp it is 16.05 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 27.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CX Technology Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2415 trades above its calculated fair value: price 27.00 TWD, fair value 16.05 TWD, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2415?
No. The price is what the market pays today (27.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.05 TWD). For CX Technology Corp the two are 10.95 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CX Technology Corp worth?
The market values CX Technology Corp at about 3.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 27.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 16.05 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2415?
Our models span a range for CX Technology Corp: cautious scenario 15.03 TWD, base 16.05 TWD, optimistic 19.05 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 27.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2415?
CX Technology Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.05 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 1.9, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
What is the PEG ratio of 2415?
The PEG ratio of CX Technology Corp is 0.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
Balance-sheet figures for CX Technology Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2415 from its 52-week high?
CX Technology Corp trades at 27.00 TWD, about 35% below its 52-week high of 41.65 TWD and 15% above the low of 23.55 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.05 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CX Technology Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CX Technology Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 27.00 TWD, calculated fair value 16.05 TWD (−41%), Quality Score 44/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2415 calculated?
We run CX Technology Corp through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.05 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. CX Technology Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 27.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 16.05 TWD, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CX Technology Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.05 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of CX Technology Corp (2415) come from?
Earnings per share at CX Technology Corp grew −0.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.9 %, EBIT margin +2.5 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of CX Technology Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The market capitalisation of CX Technology Corp is 3.2B TWD (≈ $98.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CX Technology Corp is 1.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
Earnings per share at CX Technology Corp are 1.81 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The dividend yield of CX Technology Corp is 1.8% (payout 26.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The net margin of CX Technology Corp is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CX Technology Corp is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CX Technology Corp is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CX Technology Corp (2415)?
The operating margin of CX Technology Corp is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CX Technology Corp (2415)?
Revenue at CX Technology Corp is growing +14.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CX Technology Corp (2415)?
Earnings per share at CX Technology Corp are growing +41.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does CX Technology Corp (2415) generate?
The free cash flow of CX Technology Corp is −1.1B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does CX Technology Corp (2415) carry?
The net debt of CX Technology Corp is 4.4B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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