Autostreets Development Ltd (2443) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 35% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.6400 to HK$1.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (15 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range HK$1.47 – HK$4.88 · fair‑value band HK$0.6400 – HK$1.21 · the HK$1.50 price screens above the HK$0.9700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Autostreets Development Ltd (2443) currently trades at HK$1.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9700, implying the stock looks roughly 35.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Autostreets Development Ltd generated revenue of HK$271M at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 40.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$644M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6400 (bear case) to HK$1.21 (bull case); at HK$1.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -35%, 2443 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.29) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Autostreets Development Limited, an investment holding company, provides used vehicle transaction services in China. It offers online-offline integrated transaction platform that connects upstream sellers with downstream buyers for used vehicles, as well as facilitates used vehicle auction in large volumes.
Full company description
Autostreets Development Limited, an investment holding company, provides used vehicle transaction services in China. It offers online-offline integrated transaction platform that connects upstream sellers with downstream buyers for used vehicles, as well as facilitates used vehicle auction in large volumes. The company also provides used vehicle value-added services; exhibition related services; and other services, such as providing title transfer and registration services and GPS installation services. In addition, it arranges sales of used vehicles; and offers IT system and internet information services. Autostreets Development Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Autostreets Development Ltd reported revenue of HK$271M in FY2025 versus HK$678M in FY2021, a compound −20.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$8.3M in FY2025, compounding −35.6%/yr from FY2021.
2443 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →
Peer Group
Auto & Truck Dealerships · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $72.48 | $24.58 | -66% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $218.00 | $217.41 | -0% |
| D'Ieteren Group DIE | €175.00 | €105.40 | -40% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 524.00 TWD | 558.82 TWD | +7% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $58.71 | $29.44 | -50% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $378.55 | $498.50 | +32% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $208.62 | $329.77 | +58% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $80.63 | $66.27 | -18% |
| Valvoline Inc VVV | $33.30 | $24.55 | -26% |
| OPENLANE, Inc OPLN | $35.33 | $33.46 | -5% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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