Logory Logistics Technology Co (2482) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$711M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$0.7100 to HK$0.5077 (−28.5%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −38.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 47% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.4194). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range HK$0.3450 – HK$2.87 · fair‑value band HK$0.4194 – HK$0.5445 · the HK$0.3450 price screens below the HK$0.5077 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Logory Logistics Technology Co (2482) currently trades at HK$0.3450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5077, implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Logory Logistics Technology Co generated revenue of HK$4.5B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 65.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4194 (bear case) to HK$0.5445 (bull case); at HK$0.3450, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 47%, 2482 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.4800) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Logory Logistics Technology Co., Ltd. provides road freight transportation services and solutions to logistics companies, cargo owners, truckers, freight brokers, and other related service providers in China.
Full company description
Logory Logistics Technology Co., Ltd. provides road freight transportation services and solutions to logistics companies, cargo owners, truckers, freight brokers, and other related service providers in China. It operates a digital freight platform that provides digital transportation resources management, digital transportation process management, and digital financial settlement management for logistics companies. The company also operates a truck driver community through various online portals, such as Trucker Community APP, WeChat, Douyin, and Kuaishou. In addition, it provides trucker driver membership services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Logory Logistics Technology Co reported revenue of HK$4.5B in FY2025 versus HK$6.3B in FY2021, a compound −7.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$43.5M in FY2025, compounding −3.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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