Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd stock HK$0.74, price HK$0.25, upside +200.0%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range HK$0.2460 – HK$2.87 · fair‑value band HK$0.5685 – HK$0.7879 · the HK$0.2460 price screens below the HK$0.7380 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Logory Logistics Technology Co., Ltd. provides road freight transportation services and solutions to logistics companies, cargo owners, truckers, freight brokers, and other related service providers in China.
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It operates a digital freight platform that provides digital transportation resources management, digital transportation process management, and digital financial settlement management for logistics companies.
The company also operates a truck driver community through various online portals, such as Trucker Community APP, WeChat, Douyin, and Kuaishou. In addition, it provides trucker driver membership services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Hefei, China.
Stock analysis
Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482) currently trades at HK$0.2460, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7380, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$1.05 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.2460 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.3000, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.5685 (bear) to HK$0.7879 (bull), the price of HK$0.2460 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.9%/yr. Reported net income was 43.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −3.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$376M (≈ $48.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.12 · Net margin −0.2% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 0.8% · Revenue (TTM) 3.0B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −50.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 200%, 2482 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.5685Fair Value HK$0.7380BullHK$0.7879
Price HK$0.2460 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 2%
2025 sits 69% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2482.HK
Frequently asked questions
Is Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7380 versus a price of HK$0.2460, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2482?
Our model-based fair value for Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is HK$0.7380 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2460.
What is the quality score of 2482?
Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7380 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5685, optimistic scenario HK$0.7879. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7380, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.2460 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5685, optimistic scenario HK$0.7879. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd it is HK$0.7380 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2460. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 2482 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2460, fair value HK$0.7380, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2482?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2460); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7380). For Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd the two are HK$0.4920 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd worth?
The market values Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd at about HK$376M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2460; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7380 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2482?
Our models span a range for Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.5685, base HK$0.7380, optimistic HK$0.7879 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price HK$0.2460). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
Balance-sheet figures for Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −0.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2482 from its 52-week high?
Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd trades at HK$0.2460, about 73% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9000 and at the low of HK$0.2460 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7380 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price HK$0.2460, calculated fair value HK$0.7380 (+200%), Quality Score 49/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2482 calculated?
We run Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7380, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was HK$0.2460. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7380, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5685). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
The market capitalisation of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is HK$376M (≈ $48.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
The net margin of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is −0.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
The operating margin of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
Revenue at Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is growing −50.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482)?
Earnings per share at Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd are growing −40.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd (2482) generate?
The free cash flow of Logory Logistics Tech Co Ltd is −241M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Oct 3, 2026