EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd HK$1.39, price HK$9.56, upside -85.5%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · HK

BS Thin data Sep 28, 2026

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd

2533 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$1.39 · Strongly overvalued (−85.5%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +70.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -173.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$38.80 HK$9.30 Fair Value HK$1.39 Aug 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range HK$9.30 – HK$38.80 · fair‑value band HK$0.9200 – HK$1.74 · the HK$9.56 price screens above the HK$1.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

Follow Black Sesame Intl Hldg in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Black Sesame Intl Hldg is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Black Sesame International Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides autonomous driving system on chip (SoC) and SoC based solutions.

Show more

Black Sesame International Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides autonomous driving system on chip (SoC) and SoC based solutions. The company's automotive-grade SoCs includes the Huashan series automotive grade high computing power autonomous driving chip; SesameX Platform, a full-stack self-evolving and whole-brain AI platform; hanhai autonomous driving middleware platform; and the Wudang series cross-domain computing platform for intelligent vehicles, such as advanced driving assistance system, smart cockpit, advanced imaging, and interconnection. It also engages in the development of automotive grade autonomous driving SoCs; and IP holding and licensing, sales and marketing, research and development, and investment activities. In addition, the company provides IP core, SoC design, and Shanhai Toolchain technology, as well as driving solutions, V2X solution, industry applications, and consumer electronics solutions. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Stock analysis

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) currently trades at HK$9.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.39, 85.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.9200 (bear) to HK$1.74 (bull), the price of HK$9.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd reported revenue of 822M CNY in FY2025 versus 60.5M CNY in FY2021, a compound +92.0%/yr. Reported net income was −1.4B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$7.8B (≈ $1,000M) · P/S ratio 9.54 · EPS (TTM) HK$−1.30 · Net margin −173% · Return on equity −127% · Return on assets (EBIT) −61.6% · Operating margin −120% · Revenue (TTM) 822M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −85%, 2533 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.9200 Fair Value HK$1.39 Bull HK$1.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.9800 HK$1.32 HK$1.97 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.9800 HK$1.32 HK$1.97 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when 2533 reaches fair value

Put 2533 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+73.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+70.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,194.4% (2021) → −174.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2533 screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Compare Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 326 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −36.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −173.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −120.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 93.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.86× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.22× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 88
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 19

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $228.38 $198.56 −13%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $459.20 $505.12 +10%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $351.19 $303.10 −14%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $1,054 $151.51 −86%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $611.76 $122.60 −80%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,833,000 KRW 2,016,300 KRW +10%
Intel Corporation INTC $115.93 $33.67 −71%
Arm Holdings ARM $310.32 $44.44 −86%
MediaTek Inc 2454 5,285 TWD 3,142 TWD −41%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $280.09 $81.75 −71%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Technology stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.39 −85%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2533

Frequently asked questions

Is Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.39 versus a price of HK$9.56, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2533?
Our model-based fair value for Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is HK$1.39 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$9.56.
What is the quality score of 2533?
Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.39 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.9200, optimistic scenario HK$1.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.39, about −85% upside versus a price of HK$9.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.9200, optimistic scenario HK$1.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 822M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd it is HK$1.39 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$9.56. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 2533 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$9.56, fair value HK$1.39, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2533?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$9.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.39). For Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd the two are HK$8.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd worth?
The market values Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd at about HK$7.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$9.56; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2533?
Our models span a range for Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.9200, base HK$1.39, optimistic HK$1.74 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$9.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
Balance-sheet figures for Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity −126.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2533 from its 52-week high?
Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd trades at HK$9.56, about 62% below its 52-week high of HK$25.10 and 3% above the low of HK$9.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$9.56, calculated fair value HK$1.39 (−85%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2533 calculated?
We run Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$9.56. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.39, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.9200 to HK$1.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
The market capitalisation of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is HK$7.8B (≈ $1,000M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is 9.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
Earnings per share at Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd are HK$−1.30. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
The net margin of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is −173% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is −127% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is −61.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
The operating margin of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is −120% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533)?
Revenue at Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is growing +93.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +70.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) generate?
The free cash flow of Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd is −1.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) hold?
Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd holds more cash than debt, 668M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.