Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$7.8B

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$8.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range (HK$4.39 to HK$8.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

24‑month range HK$10.38 – HK$38.80 · fair‑value band HK$4.39 – HK$8.24 · the HK$11.47 price screens above the HK$6.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd (2533) currently trades at HK$11.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.59, implying the stock looks roughly 42.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$822M. Revenue grew 93.6% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$668M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.39 (bear case) to HK$8.24 (bull case); at HK$11.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -43%, 2533 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Black Sesame International Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides autonomous driving system on chip (SoC) and SoC based solutions.

Full company description

Black Sesame International Holding Limited, an investment holding company, provides autonomous driving system on chip (SoC) and SoC based solutions. The company's automotive-grade SoCs includes the Huashan series automotive grade high computing power autonomous driving chip; SesameX Platform, a full-stack self-evolving and whole-brain AI platform; hanhai autonomous driving middleware platform; and the Wudang series cross-domain computing platform for intelligent vehicles, such as advanced driving assistance system, smart cockpit, advanced imaging, and interconnection. It also engages in the development of automotive grade autonomous driving SoCs; and IP holding and licensing, sales and marketing, research and development, and investment activities. In addition, the company provides IP core, SoC design, and Shanhai Toolchain technology, as well as driving solutions, V2X solution, industry applications, and consumer electronics solutions. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Black Sesame Intl Hldg Ltd reported revenue of HK$822M in FY2025 versus HK$60.5M in FY2021, a compound +92.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.4B in FY2025.

2533 screens 43% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 323 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.