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Dida Inc (2559) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$2.5B

DI Dida Inc 2559 · HK
PriceHK$1.39
Fair ValueHK$2.24
Upside+61.2%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 25.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.90 – HK$2.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +6.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 61% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

HK$2.45 HK$0.5369 Fair Value HK$2.24 Jun 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range HK$0.5369 – HK$2.45 · fair‑value band HK$1.90 – HK$2.49 · the HK$1.39 price screens below the HK$2.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Dida Inc (2559) currently trades at HK$1.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.24, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Dida Inc generated revenue of HK$502M at a net margin of 25.8%. Revenue declined 43.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.90 (bear case) to HK$2.49 (bull case); at HK$1.39, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at 61%, 2559 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.54 HK$1.72 HK$2.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.66 HK$1.97 HK$2.36 74
ROIC Compounder HK$1.73 HK$1.86 HK$2.02 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.54 HK$1.74 HK$2.07 38
Owner Earnings HK$2.84 HK$3.98 HK$5.86 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.66 HK$1.98 HK$2.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.70 HK$2.06 HK$2.52 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.54 HK$3.77 HK$5.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.60 HK$1.89 HK$2.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.64 HK$1.95 HK$2.41 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.18 HK$3.16 HK$4.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8400 HK$3.71 HK$5.08 54
Lynch FV HK$0.9600 HK$1.38 HK$1.79 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.9600 HK$1.38 HK$1.79 46
EPV HK$1.68 HK$1.75 HK$1.80 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.94 HK$2.59 HK$3.23 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.7200 HK$0.9500 HK$1.19 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.57 HK$2.09 HK$2.62 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.91 HK$2.12 HK$2.33 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.83 HK$2.01 HK$2.20 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.73 HK$1.92 HK$2.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7100 HK$0.9600 HK$1.43 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.54 HK$1.72 HK$2.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.66 HK$1.97 HK$2.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.19 HK$1.28 HK$1.53 61
ROIC Compounder HK$1.73 HK$1.86 HK$2.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.58 HK$2.26 HK$2.93 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$2.26) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.9600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$502M
Revenue growth (YoY) -43.6%
Net margin 25.8%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow HK$23.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.3 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -7.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1300
EPS growth (YoY) +59.2%
Net cash HK$1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dida Inc., a technology-driven platform, provides carpooling marketplace and smart taxi services. It offers online-hailing solutions, including Dida Taxi App for taxi drivers and Dida Mobility App for riders; provides carpooling marketplace service mainly through Dida Mobility App and Dida WeChat Mini-program.

Full company description

Dida Inc., a technology-driven platform, provides carpooling marketplace and smart taxi services. It offers online-hailing solutions, including Dida Taxi App for taxi drivers and Dida Mobility App for riders; provides carpooling marketplace service mainly through Dida Mobility App and Dida WeChat Mini-program. The company provides also taxi services; advertising and other services; it provides advertising and other services; software and information services; and travel services. Dida Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dida Inc reported revenue of HK$489M in FY2025 versus HK$781M in FY2021, a compound −11.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$126M in FY2025, compounding −48.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$489M
Latest YoY
−37.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.8%
Revenue −11.0%/yr
FY21 HK$781M
FY22 HK$569M
FY23 HK$815M
FY24 HK$787M
FY25 HK$489M
Net income −48.0%/yr
FY21 HK$1.7B
FY22 −HK$188M
FY23 HK$300M
FY24 HK$1.0B
FY25 HK$126M

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Dida Inc · Fair Value
HK$2.24 +61%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dida Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2559

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 98 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -44% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.72× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 42.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 52
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 37 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,129 $449.86 -60%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $80.55 $65.76 -18%
AerCap Holdings AER $150.25 $301.51 +101%
Ryder System, Inc R $262.96 $109.71 -58%
Ayvens AYV €11.68 €25.90 +122%
Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 R$34.71 R$37.01 +7%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$27.95 C$15.06 -46%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$74.40 HK$18.61 -75%
GATX Corporation GATX $177.56 $140.90 -21%
Avis Budget Group CAR $139.58 $158.11 +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dida Inc (2559) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.24 versus a price of HK$1.39, about +61% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2559?
Our model-based fair value for Dida Inc is HK$2.24 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.39.
What is the quality score of 2559?
Dida Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dida Inc (2559)?
Dida Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$502M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2559?
The net profit margin of Dida Inc is about 25.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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