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U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation (2606) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 54.2B TWD

UM U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2606 · TW
Price67.50 TWD
Fair Value44.87 TWD
Upside-33.5%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 27.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.44% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range 40.50 TWD – 70.44 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 45.03 TWD to 44.87 TWD (−0.4%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 40.50 TWD (bear) to 70.44 TWD (bull), base 44.87 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

76.57 TWD 29.82 TWD Fair Value 44.87 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 29.82 TWD – 76.57 TWD · fair‑value band 40.50 TWD – 70.44 TWD · the 67.50 TWD price screens above the 44.87 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation (2606) currently trades at 67.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 44.87 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 33.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation generated revenue of 16.0B TWD at a net margin of 27.5%. Revenue grew 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 29.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 40.50 TWD (bear case) to 70.44 TWD (bull case); at 67.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -34%, 2606 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.27 TWD 10.06 TWD 80
Residual Income 39.76 TWD 43.73 TWD 62.65 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 TWD 10.03 TWD 22.27 TWD 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.8500 TWD 10.62 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 4.33 TWD 15.82 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0100 TWD 9.82 TWD 23.98 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 32.85 TWD 65.86 TWD 109.03 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.22 TWD 49.43 TWD 80.15 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 5.91 TWD 15.63 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 18.40 TWD 42.98 TWD 71.85 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 12.48 TWD 32.11 TWD 52.76 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 29.29 TWD 50.71 TWD 62.09 TWD 54
EPV 18.70 TWD 24.96 TWD 30.44 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 67.85 TWD 90.47 TWD 113.08 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 27.63 TWD 36.84 TWD 46.05 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 54.93 TWD 73.23 TWD 91.54 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 37.02 TWD 55.64 TWD 74.27 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 66.81 TWD 95.36 TWD 123.92 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 4.35 TWD 14.29 TWD 24.24 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 23.00 TWD 30.83 TWD 46.01 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.27 TWD 10.06 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 TWD 10.03 TWD 22.27 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 39.76 TWD 43.73 TWD 62.65 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 18.70 TWD 24.96 TWD 30.44 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 47.91 TWD 68.44 TWD 88.98 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (68.44 TWD) versus Growth DCF (1.27 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 16.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.3%
Net margin 27.5%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow 1.2B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 25.4%
EPS (TTM) 5.20 TWD
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +335%
Net debt 29.4B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the marine transportation and investment businesses worldwide. The company owns and operates ships that carry various commodities, such as cement, crude oil, iron ore, coal, and grain shipments. It operates 73 vessels with a total deadweight of 8.8 million tons.

Full company description

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the marine transportation and investment businesses worldwide. The company owns and operates ships that carry various commodities, such as cement, crude oil, iron ore, coal, and grain shipments. It operates 73 vessels with a total deadweight of 8.8 million tons. The company was formerly known as Yue Ming Transportation Co. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation reported revenue of 15.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 14.0B TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 3.6B TWD in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
15.6B TWD
Latest YoY
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+4.1%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 14.0B TWD
FY22 14.2B TWD
FY23 14.4B TWD
FY24 16.3B TWD
FY25 15.6B TWD
Net income −7.1%/yr
FY21 4.9B TWD
FY22 4.4B TWD
FY23 2.7B TWD
FY24 4.7B TWD
FY25 3.6B TWD

2606 screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2606

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.85× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 67 · sector 18
PAST 43 · sector 27
HEALTH 57 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 89 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation (2606) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 44.87 TWD versus a price of 67.50 TWD, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2606?
Our model-based fair value for U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation is 44.87 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 67.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2606?
U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation (2606)?
U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2606?
The net profit margin of U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation is about 27.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation pay a dividend?
U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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