Shan-Loong Transportation Co (2616) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.9B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from 77.32 TWD to 2.51 TWD (−96.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 13.15 TWD – 23.90 TWD · fair‑value band 2.33 TWD – 2.78 TWD · the 13.80 TWD price screens above the 2.51 TWD fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Shan-Loong Transportation Co (2616) currently trades at 13.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.51 TWD — implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shan-Loong Transportation Co generated revenue of 8.2B TWD at a net margin of -10.1%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.0%. Net debt stands at 2.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.33 TWD (bear case) to 2.78 TWD (bull case); at 13.80 TWD, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside — at -82%, 2616 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Shan-Loong Transportation Co.,Ltd engages in the transportation, logistics, and fuel businesses in Taiwan, Mainland China, and Vietnam. It provides the container, bulk, fuel, and hazardous material transportation services. The company also offers import/export, container loading/unloading, warehouse management, order processing, temperature warehousing, delivery, and reverse logistics, as well as handling, picking, and processing services. In addition, it provides customs brokerage services; sea, air, and land shipment services; and product storage management services. Further, the company owns a network of gas stations. Shan-Loong Transportation Co.,Ltd was formerly known as Wang Pai Transportation Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shan-Loong Transportation Co., Ltd in January 1982. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shan-Loong Transportation Co reported revenue of 8.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 18.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −18.8%/yr. Reported net income was −849M TWD in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.