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FarGlory Hotel Co (2712) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.5B TWD

FH FarGlory Hotel Co 2712 · TW
Price14.95 TWD
Fair Value3.58 TWD
Upside-76.1%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -6.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range 1.66 TWD – 5.51 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.51 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (1.66 TWD to 5.51 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

39.71 TWD 14.35 TWD Fair Value 3.58 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.35 TWD – 39.71 TWD · fair‑value band 1.66 TWD – 5.51 TWD · the 14.95 TWD price screens above the 3.58 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

FarGlory Hotel Co (2712) currently trades at 14.95 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.58 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 76.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, FarGlory Hotel Co generated revenue of 525M TWD at a net margin of -7.7%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.9%. Net debt stands at 433M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.66 TWD (bear case) to 5.51 TWD (bull case); at 14.95 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -76%, 2712 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.8200 TWD 1.97 TWD 3.41 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6600 TWD 2.22 TWD 4.02 TWD 74
EV/EBITDA 3.66 TWD 5.58 TWD 7.51 TWD 54
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.8100 TWD 2.13 TWD 3.91 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 1.83 TWD 3.61 TWD 6.01 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6600 TWD 2.20 TWD 4.16 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.12 TWD 4.95 TWD 8.26 TWD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.6100 TWD 1.96 TWD 3.74 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.54 TWD 3.70 TWD 6.60 TWD 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 3.66 TWD 5.58 TWD 7.51 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 0.7000 TWD 1.91 TWD 3.12 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.89 TWD 6.55 TWD 9.77 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.8200 TWD 1.97 TWD 3.41 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6600 TWD 2.22 TWD 4.02 TWD 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (6.55 TWD) versus Multiples (1.91 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 536M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net margin -6.6%
Return on equity -3.4%
Free cash flow 32.6M TWD FY2025
Operating margin -11.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.3800 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) -32.2%
Net debt 433M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

FarGlory Hotel Co.,Ltd engages in the operation of hotel under the Farglory Hotel name in Taiwan. The company provides rooms, dining, weddings, meetings and events, and facilities, including leisure, outdoor pool, spa, and stores. It also operates restaurants. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Hualien City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FarGlory Hotel Co reported revenue of 525M TWD in FY2025 versus 351M TWD in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −40.4M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
525M TWD
Latest YoY
+47.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.7%
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 351M TWD
FY22 533M TWD
FY23 656M TWD
FY24 355M TWD
FY25 525M TWD
Net income
FY21 −20.7M TWD
FY22 24.1M TWD
FY23 49.0M TWD
FY24 −149M TWD
FY25 −40.4M TWD

2712 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FarGlory Hotel Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2712

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 18
FUTURE 46 · sector 33
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 87 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $44.79 $52.27 +17%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$34.20 HK$41.44 +21%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$13.08 HK$2.05 -84%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $46.13 $13.70 -70%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $97.05 $69.39 -29%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $64.75 $17.09 -74%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $87.64 $151.24 +73%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.91 $80.92 +171%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.6900 SGD +11%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $150.14 $125.02 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FarGlory Hotel Co (2712) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.58 TWD versus a price of 14.95 TWD, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2712?
Our model-based fair value for FarGlory Hotel Co is 3.58 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.95 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2712?
FarGlory Hotel Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of FarGlory Hotel Co (2712)?
FarGlory Hotel Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 525M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2712?
The net profit margin of FarGlory Hotel Co is about -7.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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