Greentown Service Group Co Ltd (2869) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Greentown Service Group Co Ltd HK$8.61, price HK$4.20, upside +105.0%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Greentown Service Group Co Ltd
2869 · HKClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.15 – HK$10.87 · fair‑value band HK$6.03 – HK$11.19 · the HK$4.20 price screens below the HK$8.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Company profile
Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management services in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers property management services, such as security, cleaning, gardening, and repair and maintenance services; and consulting services comprising project planning, design management, construction management, marketing management consulting services, digital products and service solutions, and management consulting services to real estate developers, property management companies, and governments. It also provides community living services, including home living, community space, property asset management, and cultural and education services to property owners and residents. In addition, the company engages in the hotel and resorts management, recreational, exhibitions, market promotion, business consultant and housekeeping, computer networking technology, consultant, education consultant, financial service outsourcing, pension, and information technology services. Further, it is involved in supply chain management; education technology; advertisement design; equipment maintenance; property management related training services; wholesale and retail; parking; construction and design; lighting construction; investment management; science and technology promotion and application services; and community leasing, sales, and other services. Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Greentown Service Group Co Ltd (2869) currently trades at HK$4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.61, implying the stock looks roughly 51.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$12.90 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$4.20 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$2.00, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$6.03 (bear) to HK$11.19 (bull), the price of HK$4.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Greentown Service Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 19.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was 880M CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$13.2B (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 11.7 · P/S ratio 0.54 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 12.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% · Operating margin 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 105%, 2869 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Greentown Service Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 538 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $134.55 | $91.06 | −32% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$42.92 | HK$17.16 | −60% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €23.99 | €23.94 | +0% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.32 | HK$13.39 | −45% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €17.17 | €36.55 | +113% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $321.91 | $540.65 | +68% |
| Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 | HK$30.54 | HK$27.42 | −10% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $26.95 | $6.19 | −77% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$37.00 | HK$56.36 | +52% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.60 SGD | 0.5600 SGD | −78% |
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Key figures of Greentown Service Group Co Ltd
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