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Kakao Games Corp (293490) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · KR · Market cap 814B KRW

KG Kakao Games Corp 293490 · KQ
Price8,510 KRW
Fair Value7,457 KRW
Upside-12.4%
Quality40/100
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Risks

!Trades 12% ABOVE our fair value of 7,457 KRW
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -25.2% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth
Loss-making · -25.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/8)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range 5,565 KRW – 11,130 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 8,921 KRW to 7,457 KRW (−16.4%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +14.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (5,565 KRW to 11,130 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

108,700 KRW 6,930 KRW Fair Value 7,457 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6,930 KRW – 108,700 KRW · fair‑value band 5,565 KRW – 11,130 KRW · the 8,510 KRW price screens above the 7,457 KRW fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kakao Games Corp (293490) currently trades at 8,510 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,457 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kakao Games Corp generated revenue of 425B KRW at a net margin of -25.2%. Revenue declined 32.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.6%. Net debt stands at 443B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5,565 KRW (bear case) to 11,130 KRW (bull case); at 8,510 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -12%, 293490 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 280.55 KRW 54
NCAV (Graham) 5,565 KRW 7,457 KRW 11,130 KRW 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 280.55 KRW 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5,565 KRW 7,457 KRW 11,130 KRW 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 425B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -32.5%
Net margin -25.2%
Return on equity -11.6%
Free cash flow −55.4B KRW FY2025
Operating margin -30.7%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -55.7%
Net debt 443B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kakao Games Corp. operates a mobile and PC online game service platform for gamers worldwide. The company develops and publishes various genres of games, including PC, mobile, and VR platforms.

Full company description

Kakao Games Corp. operates a mobile and PC online game service platform for gamers worldwide. The company develops and publishes various genres of games, including PC, mobile, and VR platforms. It provides mobile game services, such as kakao and snack game, mobile game play channel, play by star, and Cacao game shop; and PC online game services comprising PC/online game portal and Cacao games PC room. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Seongnam-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kakao Games Corp reported revenue of 465B KRW in FY2025 versus 1.0T KRW in FY2021, a compound −17.7%/yr. Reported net income was −100B KRW in FY2025.

Growth Quality 2/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
465B KRW
Latest YoY
−25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−26.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Revenue −17.7%/yr
FY21 1.0T KRW
FY22 1.1T KRW
FY23 726B KRW
FY24 627B KRW
FY25 465B KRW
Net income
FY21 529B KRW
FY22 −234B KRW
FY23 −229B KRW
FY24 −109B KRW
FY25 −100B KRW

293490 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kakao Games Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/293490

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 156 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -31% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -33% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE17 · sector 31
FUTURE0 · sector 6
PAST0 · sector 9
HEALTH73 · sector 99
DIVIDEND0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$192.50 HK$262.75 +36%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $209.70 $76.57 -63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $243.00 $60.20 -75%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $37.67 $21.20 -44%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥13.90 ¥14.68 +6%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 234,500 KRW 356,218 KRW +52%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥28.57 ¥15.50 -46%
International Games System Co 3293 762.00 TWD 568.16 TWD -25%
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥19.21 ¥22.29 +16%
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥17.36 ¥12.86 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kakao Games Corp (293490) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7,457 KRW versus a price of 8,510 KRW, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 293490?
Our model-based fair value for Kakao Games Corp is 7,457 KRW (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8,510 KRW.
What is the quality score of 293490?
Kakao Games Corp has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kakao Games Corp (293490)?
Kakao Games Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 425B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 293490?
The net profit margin of Kakao Games Corp is about -25.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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