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Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co (300019) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.1B CNY

CG Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co 300019 · SHE
Price¥14.95
Fair Value¥12.16
Upside-18.7%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.74% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.12 – ¥15.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥12.59 to ¥12.16 (−3.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −25.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥9.12 (bear) to ¥15.19 (bull), base ¥12.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.97 ¥9.83 Fair Value ¥12.16 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.83 – ¥26.97 · fair‑value band ¥9.12 – ¥15.19 · the ¥14.95 price screens above the ¥12.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co (300019) currently trades at ¥14.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.16, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co generated revenue of 3.8B CNY at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 681M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.12 (bear case) to ¥15.19 (bull case); at ¥14.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -19%, 300019 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥18.48 ¥32.74 ¥59.21 80
Residual Income ¥5.98 ¥6.66 ¥10.30 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.89 ¥21.85 ¥35.26 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥19.33 ¥30.06 ¥60.43 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.92 ¥23.66 ¥47.41 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥12.89 ¥20.50 ¥35.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.99 ¥20.72 ¥34.72 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥13.56 ¥23.85 ¥36.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥14.50 ¥24.82 ¥35.85 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.87 ¥25.01 ¥42.63 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥15.26 ¥26.08 ¥44.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.86 ¥33.91 ¥47.58 54
Lynch FV ¥10.27 ¥14.67 ¥19.06 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥10.27 ¥14.67 ¥19.06 46
EPV ¥8.47 ¥9.45 ¥10.29 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.81 ¥5.59 ¥8.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.81 ¥4.83 ¥5.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.12 ¥12.16 ¥15.19 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.12 ¥12.16 ¥15.19 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.12 ¥12.16 ¥15.19 55
EV/EBIT ¥11.04 ¥13.97 ¥16.89 53
EV/EBITDA ¥10.56 ¥13.32 ¥16.09 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.87 ¥13.13 ¥16.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.40 ¥4.56 ¥6.80 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥18.48 ¥32.74 ¥59.21 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.89 ¥21.85 ¥35.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.98 ¥6.66 ¥10.30 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.63 ¥13.16 ¥15.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥12.81 ¥18.30 ¥23.78 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.85) versus Asset-Based (¥4.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.3%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow 446M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 28.1
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6400
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.1%
Net cash 681M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of silicone sealants and other new materials in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of silicone sealants and other new materials in the People's Republic of China. The company offers curtain wall, insulating glass, windows and doors, interior decoration, concrete joints, automotive, solar module, and anti-corrosion sealants, as well as silicone gaskets. Its products are used in building curtain walls, hollow glass, energy-saving doors and windows, prefabricated buildings, photovoltaic new energy, smart sensors, IoT, power batteries, electronic appliances, automobile manufacturing, rail transit, 5G communications, and other fields. Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co reported revenue of ¥3.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥281M in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.7%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+22.2%
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.6B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥2.6B
FY24 ¥3.2B
FY25 ¥3.8B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 ¥268M
FY22 ¥250M
FY23 ¥315M
FY24 ¥238M
FY25 ¥281M

300019 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300019

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 0
FUTURE 42 · sector 19
PAST 38 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co (300019) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.16 versus a price of ¥14.95, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300019?
Our model-based fair value for Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co is ¥12.16 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.95.
What is the quality score of 300019?
Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co (300019)?
Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300019?
The net profit margin of Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co pay a dividend?
Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.74% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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