Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Hwa Create Corp Ltd ¥1.87, price ¥11.09, upside -83.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.35 – ¥37.42 · fair‑value band ¥1.48 – ¥2.25 · the ¥11.09 price screens above the ¥1.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hwa Create Corporation researches and develops, manufactures, and sells satellite navigation, and radar and communication products and technologies. The company provides satellite applications, radar signal processing, simulation testing, and unmanned systems.
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Hwa Create Corporation researches and develops, manufactures, and sells satellite navigation, and radar and communication products and technologies. The company provides satellite applications, radar signal processing, simulation testing, and unmanned systems. It also offers advanced devices, terminals, systems and solutions for the development of precision-guided weapons, electronic countermeasures, avionics, information operations, command and control, and advanced weapon systems for national defense and military industries. In addition, the company provides technical support systems and safe and economical engineering solutions for users in the fields of emergency management, safety monitoring, marine engineering, transportation, and smart cities. It serves the aviation, aerospace, weapons, ships, defense electronics, energy, electricity, high-speed rail, and intelligent manufacturing industries. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045) currently trades at ¥11.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.87, 83.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥1.91 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥11.09 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.55, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.48 (bear) to ¥2.25 (bull), the price of ¥11.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Hwa Create Corp Ltd reported revenue of 782M CNY in FY2025 versus 665M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −69.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 12.2B CNY (≈ $1.8B) · P/S ratio 15.4 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0900 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin −8.9% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.5% · Operating margin −6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −83%, 300045 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.48Fair Value ¥1.87Bull ¥2.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+42.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.6% (2020) → −4.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−6.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.19× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.30× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA22.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)35· sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.87 versus a price of ¥11.09, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300045?
Our model-based fair value for Hwa Create Corp Ltd is ¥1.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.09.
What is the quality score of 300045?
Hwa Create Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.87 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.48, optimistic scenario ¥2.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hwa Create Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.87, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥11.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.48, optimistic scenario ¥2.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Hwa Create Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 791M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hwa Create Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Hwa Create Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hwa Create Corp Ltd it is ¥1.87 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥11.09. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hwa Create Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300045 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.09, fair value ¥1.87, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300045?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.87). For Hwa Create Corp Ltd the two are ¥9.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hwa Create Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Hwa Create Corp Ltd at about 12.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.09; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300045?
Our models span a range for Hwa Create Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.48, base ¥1.87, optimistic ¥2.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥11.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hwa Create Corp Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300045 from its 52-week high?
Hwa Create Corp Ltd trades at ¥11.09, about 70% below its 52-week high of ¥37.42 and at the low of ¥11.09 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hwa Create Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hwa Create Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥11.09, calculated fair value ¥1.87 (−83%), Quality Score 50/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300045 calculated?
We run Hwa Create Corp Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hwa Create Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥11.09. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.87, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hwa Create Corp Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Hwa Create Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The market capitalisation of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is 12.2B CNY (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is 15.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Earnings per share at Hwa Create Corp Ltd are ¥−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The dividend yield of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is 0.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The net margin of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is −8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is −4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
The operating margin of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is −6.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Revenue at Hwa Create Corp Ltd is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045)?
Earnings per share at Hwa Create Corp Ltd are growing −86.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045) generate?
The free cash flow of Hwa Create Corp Ltd is −8.4M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hwa Create Corp Ltd (300045) hold?
Hwa Create Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 219M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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