Lians Technology Co (300051) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥0.9500 to ¥2.61 (+174.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥1.23 to ¥4.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.90 – ¥18.34 · fair‑value band ¥1.23 – ¥4.27 · the ¥8.11 price screens above the ¥2.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Lians Technology Co (300051) currently trades at ¥8.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.61, implying the stock looks roughly 67.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lians Technology Co generated revenue of 388M CNY at a net margin of -33.8%. Revenue declined 49.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -56.3%. Net debt stands at 610M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.23 (bear case) to ¥4.27 (bull case); at ¥8.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -68%, 300051 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥1.77) versus Asset-Based (¥0.2100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 18 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lians Technology Co., Ltd. engages in photovoltaic cell business in China. The company provides solar cells; and enterprise information technology services. It is also involved in the resale of professional mobile communications products; and housing rental business.
Full company description
Lians Technology Co., Ltd. engages in photovoltaic cell business in China. The company provides solar cells; and enterprise information technology services. It is also involved in the resale of professional mobile communications products; and housing rental business. The company was formerly known as Leascend Technology Co., Ltd and changed its name to Lians Technology Co., Ltd. in February 2026. Lians Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2004 and is based in Xiamen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lians Technology Co reported revenue of ¥388M in FY2025 versus ¥184M in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥131M in FY2025.
300051 screens 68% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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