Hainan Shennong Seed Industry Technology Co (300189) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Share price −13.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥4.19 – ¥9.34 · fair‑value band ¥0.3300 – ¥0.6200 · the ¥4.45 price screens above the ¥0.4700 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Hainan Shennong Seed Industry Technology Co (300189) currently trades at ¥4.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4700 — implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hainan Shennong Seed Industry Technology Co generated revenue of 238M CNY at a net margin of 47.6%. Revenue declined 27.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at 153M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3300 (bear case) to ¥0.6200 (bull case); at ¥4.45, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside — at -89%, 300189 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Hainan Shennong Seed Industry Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the breeding, production, and sale of hybrid rice seeds in China. The company offers fertilizer; smart agricultural management; primary processing of edible agricultural products; retail of edible agricultural products; comprehensive utilization of fishery processing waste; sales of animal husbandry and fishery feed; wholesale of edible agricultural products; retail of aquatic products; marine environmental services; technical services, technical development, technical consultation, technical exchange, technology transfer, and technology promotion; wholesale of aquatic products; sales of specialized machinery for agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, sideline production, and fishery; and leisure and sightseeing activities. It also engages in production of main crop seeds; operation of crop seeds; wholesale of pesticides; production of feed; production of food; aquaculture; production of aquatic seedlings; fishing; …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hainan Shennong Seed Industry Technology Co reported revenue of ¥249M in FY2025 versus ¥148M in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥107M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.