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Anhui Anli Material Technology Co (300218) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY

AA Anhui Anli Material Technology Co 300218 · SHE
Price¥12.60
Fair Value¥13.32
Upside+5.7%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.03% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.49 – ¥16.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 33 days ago

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥9.49 (bear) to ¥16.65 (bull), base ¥13.32. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥25.13 ¥7.90 Fair Value ¥13.32 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.90 – ¥25.13 · fair‑value band ¥9.49 – ¥16.65 · the ¥12.60 price screens below the ¥13.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Anli Material Technology Co (300218) currently trades at ¥12.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.32, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Anli Material Technology Co generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 293M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.49 (bear case) to ¥16.65 (bull case); at ¥12.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 6%, 300218 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.55 ¥9.54 ¥12.19 80
Residual Income ¥6.00 ¥6.45 ¥7.29 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.62 ¥12.22 ¥16.18 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.45 ¥9.65 ¥12.74 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.18 ¥13.63 ¥18.47 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥8.62 ¥12.21 ¥16.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.53 ¥15.68 ¥21.57 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.96 ¥14.65 ¥19.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.93 ¥11.02 ¥15.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.30 ¥13.34 ¥18.53 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.95 ¥12.65 ¥16.98 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.12 ¥10.94 ¥14.30 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.11 ¥3.02 ¥3.93 46
EPV ¥8.92 ¥9.91 ¥10.76 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.40 ¥4.78 ¥7.24 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.40 ¥3.66 ¥4.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.99 ¥13.32 ¥16.65 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.72 ¥10.29 ¥12.86 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.72 ¥10.29 ¥12.86 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.13 ¥16.62 ¥20.11 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.67 ¥17.34 ¥21.01 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.71 ¥12.74 ¥15.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.61 ¥4.84 ¥7.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.55 ¥9.54 ¥12.19 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.62 ¥12.22 ¥16.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.00 ¥6.45 ¥7.29 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.17 ¥10.69 ¥12.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.81 ¥11.16 ¥14.51 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥12.74) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.2%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow 100M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4200
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -88.1%
Net cash 293M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Anli Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of ecological functional polyurethane synthetic leather, polyurethane resin products, and other polymer composite materials in China.

Full company description

Anhui Anli Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of ecological functional polyurethane synthetic leather, polyurethane resin products, and other polymer composite materials in China. The company's products are used in men's and women's shoes, sofa furniture, automotive interior decoration, packaging and electronic packaging, balls and sports goods, architecture decoration, handbags and suitcases, and stationery packaging fields. It also exports its products. The company was formerly known as Anhui ANLI Artificial Leather Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Anhui Anli Material Technology Co., Ltd. in May 2015. Anhui Anli Material Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Hefei City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Anli Material Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥131M in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.0B
FY22 ¥2.0B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.4B
FY25 ¥2.3B
Net income −0.1%/yr
FY21 ¥132M
FY22 ¥145M
FY23 ¥70.8M
FY24 ¥194M
FY25 ¥131M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +9.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.7 pp

of which total revenue +5.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin +6.3 pp
Tax rate +0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Anli Material Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300218

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 4
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 23 · sector 23
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $44.37 $35.63 -20%
adidas AG 1ADS €165.00 €65.71 -60%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $106.49 $125.16 +18%
On Holding ONON $38.20 $17.64 -54%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.11 ¥13.03 +8%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $44.36 $44.14 -0%
Crocs, Inc CROX $138.91 $203.65 +47%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥31.10 ¥54.71 +76%
PUMA SE PUM €29.31 €10.57 -64%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $43.26 $11.69 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Anli Material Technology Co (300218) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.32 versus a price of ¥12.60, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 300218?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Anli Material Technology Co is ¥13.32 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.60.
What is the quality score of 300218?
Anhui Anli Material Technology Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Anli Material Technology Co (300218)?
Anhui Anli Material Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300218?
The net profit margin of Anhui Anli Material Technology Co is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Anli Material Technology Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Anli Material Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.03% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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